Sport Picks

Japan

J2/J3 League Kochi Haruno Athletic Stadium

Kochi United

2 - 1

Tokushima

Our Tip

Match Events

27'

Miyazaki J.

46'

Sub

Miyoshi R. In: Kawata A.

Out: Miyoshi R.

46'

Kawata A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kochi United in this J2/J3 League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kochi United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Kochi United

22%

Draws

60%

Tokushima

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Tokushima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Tokushima lately — more wins on the board than Kochi United.
60% — that's where the model lands on Tokushima taking it.
Regular J2/J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%

Kochi United Clean Sheet 19%

Tokushima Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kochi United	Tokushima
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	18
Draws	1	3
Losses	17	9
Goals Scored	1	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.13	2.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 J2/J3 League

Kochi United vs Tokushima

Possession: 42% - 41% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Mar 29, 2026 J2/J3 League

Tokushima vs Kochi United

Possession: 41% - 40% Cards: 1 - 4

3:0

Jan 15, 2025 Club Friendly

Kochi United vs Tokushima

Possession: 50% - 60% Cards: 1 - 0

3:2

Jun 9, 2021 Emperors Cup

Tokushima vs Kochi United

Possession: 42% - 50% Cards: 1 - 0

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kochi United Compare

Top Goalscorer Kawata A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Shintani M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Tokushima Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaique

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kochi United 20 / 100

Tokushima 68 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kochi United Tokushima

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOK Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Tokushima's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Kochi United's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Kochi United has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kochi United VS Tokushima

1 Goals Scored 1.38

1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25

50% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 88%

13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	18	16	2	37:15	43
2	Blaublitz	18	11	7	23:16	35
3	Shonan Bellmare	18	11	7	28:20	31
4	Yokohama FC	18	10	8	36:28	29
5	SC Sagamihara	18	9	9	33:36	28
6	Thespakusatsu Gunma	18	7	11	27:39	23
7	Montedio Yamagata	18	8	10	22:25	22
8	Tochigi City	18	7	11	22:35	21
9	Vanraure	17	5	12	16:23	18
10	Tochigi SC	17	5	12	24:31	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kofu	17	11	6	20:12	33
2	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	18	11	7	28:22	31
3	Iwaki	18	11	7	26:20	31
4	Omiya Ardija	18	10	8	39:29	30
5	Fujieda MYFC	18	9	9	24:23	30
6	Gifu	17	9	8	23:25	27
7	Matsumoto Yamaga	18	8	10	33:25	26
8	Iwata	18	9	9	20:25	25
9	Fukushima United	18	6	12	30:43	18
10	Nagano Parceiro	18	5	13	17:36	16

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Toyama	18	13	5	40:26	38
2	Albirex Niigata	18	12	6	24:19	35
3	Tokushima	18	11	7	38:23	32
4	Kochi United	18	10	8	25:23	30
5	Ehime	18	9	9	26:20	28
6	Kanazawa	18	10	8	20:23	27
7	Nara Club	18	7	11	27:36	21
8	FC Osaka	18	6	12	18:23	20
9	Imabari	18	6	12	15:21	20
10	Kamatamare Sanuki	18	6	12	15:34	19

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	18	15	3	35:13	47
2	Kagoshima United	18	12	6	27:16	33
3	Sagan Tosu	18	10	8	26:18	32
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	18	10	8	27:24	29
5	Kumamoto	18	9	9	21:21	27
6	Gainare Tottori	18	10	8	24:25	27
7	Oita Trinita	18	7	11	19:20	22
8	Reilac Shiga	18	7	11	16:29	21
9	Ryukyu	18	6	12	17:28	17
10	Giravanz Kitakyushu	18	4	14	17:35	15