Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kochi United vs Tokushima

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Kochi Haruno Athletic Stadium, Kochi
Kochi United Logo

Kochi United

2 - 1
FT
Tokushima Logo

Tokushima

Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Miyazaki J.
46'
Sub
Miyoshi R. In: Kawata A.
Out: Miyoshi R.
46' Event
Kawata A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kochi United in this J2/J3 League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kochi United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Kochi United
15%
Draws
73%
Tokushima
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tokushima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tokushima lately — more wins on the board than Kochi United.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular J2/J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Kochi United Clean Sheet 17%
Tokushima Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kochi United Tokushima
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 16
Draws 2 1
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.9 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 J2/J3 League
Kochi United vs Tokushima
2:1
Mar 29, 2026 J2/J3 League
Tokushima vs Kochi United
3:0
Jan 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Kochi United vs Tokushima
3:2
Jun 9, 2021 Emperors Cup
Tokushima vs Kochi United
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kochi United Compare

Top Goalscorer Kawata A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shintani M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Tokushima Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaique
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kochi United 36 / 100
Tokushima 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kochi United Tokushima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tokushima Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Tokushima's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Kochi United's goal record stands at 45% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Tokushima has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kochi United VS Tokushima
0.38 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kochi United

(Home)
03 Oct
Giravanz Kitakyushu
2 : 0
Kochi United
26 Sept
Kochi United
0 : 4
FC Osaka
19 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 0
Kochi United
13 Sept
Kochi United
1 : 1
Kanazawa
09 Sept
Kochi United
0 : 1
V-Varen Nagasaki
Page 1 of 6

Tokushima

(Away)
03 Oct
Albirex Niigata
2 : 1
Tokushima
26 Sept
Tokushima
3 : 0
Tochigi City
23 Sept
Gamba Osaka
5 : 0
Tokushima
19 Sept
Kofu
0 : 1
Tokushima
12 Sept
Blaublitz
4 : 1
Tokushima
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 18 16 0 2 37:15 43
2 Blaublitz 18 11 0 7 23:16 35
3 Shonan Bellmare 18 11 0 7 28:20 31
4 Yokohama FC 18 10 0 8 36:28 29
5 SC Sagamihara 18 9 0 9 33:36 28
6 Thespakusatsu Gunma 18 7 0 11 27:39 23
7 Montedio Yamagata 18 8 0 10 22:25 22
8 Tochigi City 18 7 0 11 22:35 21
9 Vanraure 17 5 0 12 16:23 18
10 Tochigi SC 17 5 0 12 24:31 17
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kofu 17 11 0 6 20:12 33
2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 18 11 0 7 28:22 31
3 Iwaki 18 11 0 7 26:20 31
4 Omiya Ardija 18 10 0 8 39:29 30
5 Fujieda MYFC 18 9 0 9 24:23 30
6 Gifu 17 9 0 8 23:25 27
7 Matsumoto Yamaga 18 8 0 10 33:25 26
8 Iwata 18 9 0 9 20:25 25
9 Fukushima United 18 6 0 12 30:43 18
10 Nagano Parceiro 18 5 0 13 17:36 16
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toyama 18 13 0 5 40:26 38
2 Albirex Niigata 18 12 0 6 24:19 35
3 Tokushima 18 11 0 7 38:23 32
4 Kochi United 18 10 0 8 25:23 30
5 Ehime 18 9 0 9 26:20 28
6 Kanazawa 18 10 0 8 20:23 27
7 Nara Club 18 7 0 11 27:36 21
8 FC Osaka 18 6 0 12 18:23 20
9 Imabari 18 6 0 12 15:21 20
10 Kamatamare Sanuki 18 6 0 12 15:34 19
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 18 15 0 3 35:13 47
2 Kagoshima United 18 12 0 6 27:16 33
3 Sagan Tosu 18 10 0 8 26:18 32
4 Renofa Yamaguchi 18 10 0 8 27:24 29
5 Kumamoto 18 9 0 9 21:21 27
6 Gainare Tottori 18 10 0 8 24:25 27
7 Oita Trinita 18 7 0 11 19:20 22
8 Reilac Shiga 18 7 0 11 16:29 21
9 Ryukyu 18 6 0 12 17:28 17
10 Giravanz Kitakyushu 18 4 0 14 17:35 15
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)