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Koeppchen vs Kaerjeng

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-4, with Kaerjeng advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Koeppchen
15%
Draws
64%
Kaerjeng
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kaerjeng

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Koeppchen haven't matched Kaerjeng's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Kaerjeng's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Kaerjeng arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Kaerjeng, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Koeppchen Clean Sheet 20%
Kaerjeng Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Koeppchen Kaerjeng
Matches Played 14 34
Wins 3 21
Draws 0 3
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.43 2.09
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2019 Luxembourg Cup
Koeppchen vs Kaerjeng
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Koeppchen 10 / 100
Kaerjeng 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Koeppchen Kaerjeng

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaerjeng Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Koeppchen scored in 71% of their last 14 outings.

Kaerjeng let in goals in 59% of their last 34 matches.

Koeppchen went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Koeppchen VS Kaerjeng
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Koeppchen

(Home)
22 Jul
Jeunesse Esch
1 : 0
Koeppchen
21 Sept
FC Koerich/Simmern
2 : 0
Koeppchen
06 Oct
Union Remich/Bous
3 : 2
Koeppchen
29 Oct
Koeppchen
2 : 5
Mondercange
01 Oct
FC Koerich/Simmern
1 : 3
Koeppchen
Page 1 of 3

Kaerjeng

(Away)
11 Sept
Kaerjeng
5 : 0
Victoria Rosport
06 Sept
Differdange
4 : 1
Kaerjeng
30 Aug
Kaerjeng
6 : 0
Hesperange
23 Aug
Ettelbruck
0 : 1
Kaerjeng
16 Aug
Kaerjeng
1 : 2
FC Residence Walferdange
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Luxembourg City 7
FC Residence Walferdange 0
The Belval Belvaux 0
Hesperange 6
Jeunesse Canach 6
Lintgen 0
Avenir Beggen 0
Ettelbruck 1
Esch 4
Harlange/Tarchamps 2
Koeppchen 1
Kaerjeng 4
Blo Weiss Itzig 5
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette 2
Schifflange 1
Differdange 5
Wiltz 3
Berdenia Berbourg 2
FC Munsbach 3
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 6
Jeunesse Junglinster 5
Pratzerthal/Redange 1
FC Noertzange HF 0
Jeunesse Esch 4
Mertert/Wasserbillig 2
Jeunesse Schieren 1
Echternach 1
Dudelange 6
FC Rodange 91 3
Gasperich 0
Red Star Merl/Belair 0
Mondorf 4
Kehlen 2
CS Sanem 1
US Sandweiler 0
FC Mamer 4
Lorentzweiler 3
US Berdorf Consdorf 2
Union Remich/Bous 0
Progres Niedercorn 2
Bettembourg 3
Union Tetange 2
FC Schengen 4
Blo Weiss Medernach 5
Steinfort 2
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 1
Miniere Lasauvage 2
Victoria Rosport 6
Mondercange 3
SC Ell 0
FF Norden 0
Alisontia Steinsel 4
Union Titus Petange 7
Vinesca Ehnen 0
Grevenmacher 1
Fola 2
Racing Luxembourg 7
AS Luxembourg/Porto 0
FC Red Black/Egalite 07 1
Hostert 4
Rumelange 6
FC 47 Bastendorf 1
Red Boys Aspelt 1
UNA Strassen 3
1/16-finals
Luxembourg City 1
Hesperange 2
Jeunesse Canach 2
Ettelbruck 0
Esch 4
Kaerjeng 0
Blo Weiss Itzig 2
Differdange 4
Wiltz 2
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 0
Jeunesse Junglinster 1
Jeunesse Esch 2
Mertert/Wasserbillig 0
Dudelange 2
FC Rodange 91 1
Mondorf 3
Kehlen 1
FC Mamer 0
Lorentzweiler 0
Progres Niedercorn 5
Bettembourg 6
Blo Weiss Medernach 0
Steinfort 0
Victoria Rosport 2
Mondercange 4
Alisontia Steinsel 0
Union Titus Petange 1
Fola 2
Racing Luxembourg 5
Hostert 1
Rumelange 0
UNA Strassen 4
1/8-finals
Hesperange 5
Jeunesse Canach 0
Esch 0
Differdange 1
Wiltz 3
Jeunesse Esch 0
Dudelange 4
Mondorf 1
Kehlen 0
Progres Niedercorn 3
Bettembourg 0
Victoria Rosport 3
Mondercange 2
Fola 1
Racing Luxembourg 5
UNA Strassen 1
Quarter-finals
Hesperange -
Differdange -
Wiltz -
Dudelange -
Progres Niedercorn -
Victoria Rosport -
Mondercange -
Racing Luxembourg -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -