Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Koge W vs Brondby W

Denmark Denmark

Danish Cup Women 2025/2026 Capelli Sport Stadion, Koge
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Boye S.
15' Event
Borbye L.
16'
Pelgander E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Danish Cup Women 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Koge W
15%
Draws
53%
Brondby W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brondby W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Koge W lately — more wins on the board than Brondby W.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Brondby W taking it.
  • Koge W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Brondby W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Koge W Clean Sheet 10%
Brondby W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Koge W Brondby W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 23 18
Draws 5 8
Losses 4 4
Goals Scored 2.47 2.03
Goals Conceded 0.91 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 A-Liga Women
Brondby W vs Koge W
1:2
May 9, 2026 A-Liga Women
Koge W vs Brondby W
0:1
Apr 2, 2026 Danish Cup Women
Brondby W vs Koge W
1:4
Mar 25, 2026 Danish Cup Women
Koge W vs Brondby W
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 A-Liga Women
Brondby W vs Koge W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Koge W Compare

Top Goalscorer Boye S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Brondby W Compare

Top Goalscorer Borbye L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Koge W 18 / 100
Brondby W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Koge W Brondby W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brondby W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Koge W found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (32 games).

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Koge W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Brondby W conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Koge W VS Brondby W
2.25 Goals Scored 3.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Koge W

(Home)
26 Sept
Koge W
4 : 1
KoldingQ W
22 Sept
Arsenal W
1 : 0
Koge W
19 Sept
Koge W
4 : 0
Midtjylland W
12 Sept
Fortuna Hjorring W
1 : 2
Koge W
05 Sept
Koge W
4 : 6
Nordsjaelland W
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Brondby W

(Away)
26 Sept
Brondby W
3 : 0
ASA Aarhus W
23 Sept
Brondby W
4 : 1
Sporting W
19 Sept
Brondby W
4 : 0
Fortuna Hjorring W
12 Sept
Odense W
0 : 4
Brondby W
08 Sept
KoldingQ W
0 : 5
Brondby W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Skjold W 0
Osterbro IF W 1
Nordsjaelland W 4
Odense W 2
Randers Q W 0
KoldingQ W 7
Dalum/Naesby W 0
Midtjylland W 7
FC Copenhagen W 0
Koge W 6
Esbjerg W 0
Aarhus W 6
Vejgaard W 2
ASA Aarhus W 7
BSF W 0
Brondby W 7
Quarter-finals
Osterbro IF W 0
Nordsjaelland W 6
KoldingQ W 3
Midtjylland W 1
Koge W 2
Aarhus W 0
ASA Aarhus W 0
Brondby W 3
Semi-finals
Nordsjaelland W 9
KoldingQ W 2
Koge W 5
Brondby W 2
Final
Nordsjaelland W 1
Koge W 4