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Stadium Background

Kokand 1912 vs OKMK Prediction & H2H Stats

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Markaziy Qo'qon Stadium, Kokand
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Turdialiev A.
24'
Haghnazari S.
45'
Sub
Yakubov J. In: Yoldoshev I.
Out: Yakubov J.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Kokand 1912 and OKMK finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward OKMK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Kokand 1912
30%
Draws
58%
OKMK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: OKMK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • OKMK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Kokand 1912 Clean Sheet 23%
OKMK Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kokand 1912 OKMK
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 10 6
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.86 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Super League
Kokand 1912 vs OKMK
1:4
Oct 3, 2025 Super League
OKMK vs Kokand 1912
0:1
May 10, 2025 Super League
Kokand 1912 vs OKMK
1:3
Sep 9, 2022 Super League
Kokand 1912 vs OKMK
0:0
Apr 27, 2022 Super League
OKMK vs Kokand 1912
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kokand 1912 Compare

Top Goalscorer Yoldoshev I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

OKMK Compare

Top Goalscorer Sobirzhonov A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Abdurazzakov N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kokand 1912 33 / 100
OKMK 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kokand 1912 OKMK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OKMK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kokand 1912 scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

OKMK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Kokand 1912 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kokand 1912 VS OKMK
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kokand 1912

(Home)
20 Sept
Termez Surkhon
1 : 0
Kokand 1912
16 Sept
Gazalkent
2 : 1
Kokand 1912
10 Sept
Andijan
2 : 1
Kokand 1912
05 Sept
Kokand 1912
1 : 1
Din. Samarkand
24 Aug
Kokand 1912
1 : 1
Buxoro
Page 1 of 6

OKMK

(Away)
20 Sept
Sogdiana
1 : 2
OKMK
16 Sept
OKMK
2 : 1
Xorazm Urganch
09 Sept
OKMK
1 : 3
Pakhtakor
03 Sept
OKMK
1 : 0
Xorazm Urganch
25 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 0
OKMK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 22 16 3 3 50:17 51
2 Pakhtakor 22 14 7 1 39:20 49
3 Navbahor Namangan 22 13 5 4 39:21 44
4 Lok. Tashkent 22 10 5 7 36:28 35
5 OKMK 22 10 5 7 31:29 35
6 Nasaf Qarshi 22 9 7 6 33:21 34
7 Buxoro 22 10 4 8 32:29 34
8 Din. Samarkand 22 8 6 8 33:34 30
9 Andijan 22 9 3 10 27:28 30
10 Qizilqum 22 9 2 11 23:30 29
11 Sogdiana 22 8 4 10 38:43 28
12 Termez Surkhon 22 7 5 10 19:28 26
13 Bunyodkor 22 7 1 14 22:36 22
14 Xorazm Urganch 22 5 6 11 18:32 21
15 Kokand 1912 22 4 8 10 19:30 20
16 Mashal Muborak 22 1 1 20 11:44 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)