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Kom Berkovitsa vs Pavlikeni

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kom Berkovitsa play Pavlikeni in the Third League - North-West. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kom Berkovitsa averaged 2.03 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Pavlikeni averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, Kom Berkovitsa won 2, Pavlikeni won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Kom Berkovitsa and 1.25 for Pavlikeni. This points to a Kom Berkovitsa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Kom Berkovitsa
25%
Draws
30%
Pavlikeni
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Kom Berkovitsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Kom Berkovitsa picked up more points recently compared to Pavlikeni.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Kom Berkovitsa Clean Sheet 19%
Pavlikeni Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kom Berkovitsa Pavlikeni
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 7 4
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 2.03 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Third League - North-West
Pavlikeni vs Kom Berkovitsa
0:0
Oct 4, 2025 Third League - North-West
Kom Berkovitsa vs Pavlikeni
4:1
May 3, 2025 Third League - North-West
Kom Berkovitsa vs Pavlikeni
4:1
Nov 9, 2024 Third League - North-West
Pavlikeni vs Kom Berkovitsa
1:0
Apr 5, 2020 Third League - North-West
Kom Berkovitsa vs Pavlikeni
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kom Berkovitsa 44 / 100
Pavlikeni 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kom Berkovitsa Pavlikeni

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kom Berkovitsa or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kom Berkovitsa attacking → ← attacking Pavlikeni

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kom Berkovitsa scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Pavlikeni let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Kom Berkovitsa went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Pavlikeni lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 40
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lokomotiv Mezdra22191262:2058
2Akademik Svishtov22173240:1154
3Kom Berkovitsa22136346:2245
4Bdin Vidin22141757:2643
5Partizan Cerven Brjag2286825:2530
6Pavlikeni22931029:2430
7Etar II2285932:3129
8Yantra Polski Trambesh22661037:4724
9OFK Levski22651132:3523
10Troyan22511620:5616
11Juventus Malchika22211914:724
12FC Lovech22601618:4318