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Kom Berkovitsa vs Sevlievo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kom Berkovitsa host Sevlievo in the Third League - North-West. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Sevlievo have shipped 1.64 goals a game lately, while Kom Berkovitsa have conceded 1.17 and scored 1.97. Head-to-head, Kom Berkovitsa have won 0 to Sevlievo's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on May 10, 2025, ending 2:1. The numbers (2.19 xG vs 1.69) point toward Kom Berkovitsa. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Kom Berkovitsa
35%
Draws
32%
Sevlievo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Sevlievo haven't matched Kom Berkovitsa's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Third League - North-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sevlievo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Kom Berkovitsa Clean Sheet 13%
Sevlievo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kom Berkovitsa Sevlievo
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 11
Draws 9 5
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.97 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2025 Third League - North-West
Sevlievo vs Kom Berkovitsa
2:1
Nov 16, 2024 Third League - North-West
Kom Berkovitsa vs Sevlievo
0:3
Mar 22, 2020 Third League - North-West
Kom Berkovitsa vs Sevlievo
0:0
Aug 25, 2019 Third League - North-West
Sevlievo vs Kom Berkovitsa
3:1
May 12, 2019 Third League - North-West
Sevlievo vs Kom Berkovitsa
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kom Berkovitsa 31 / 100
Sevlievo 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kom Berkovitsa Sevlievo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kom Berkovitsa scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Sevlievo conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Kom Berkovitsa remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kom Berkovitsa VS Sevlievo
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kom Berkovitsa

(Home)
26 Sept
Kom Berkovitsa
1 : 1
OFK Levski
19 Sept
Pavlikeni
1 : 4
Kom Berkovitsa
12 Sept
Kom Berkovitsa
2 : 1
Spartak Pleven II
05 Sept
Lokomotiv Mezdra
4 : 0
Kom Berkovitsa
29 Aug
Kom Berkovitsa
2 : 2
Yantra Polski Trambesh
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Sevlievo

(Away)
19 Sept
Chavdar Troyan
1 : 0
Sevlievo
12 Sept
Sevlievo
2 : 0
OFK Levski
05 Sept
Pavlikeni
0 : 1
Sevlievo
29 Aug
Sevlievo
2 : 2
Spartak Pleven II
22 Aug
Sevlievo
2 : 2
Lokomotiv Mezdra
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Akademik Svishtov 6 4 2 0 11:3 14
2 Lokomotiv Mezdra 5 2 3 0 9:4 9
3 Bdin Vidin 6 3 0 3 12:11 9
4 Kom Berkovitsa 6 2 3 1 11:11 9
5 Yantra Polski Trambesh 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
6 Sevlievo 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
7 Chavdar Troyan 5 2 2 1 4:4 8
8 Partizan Cerven Brjag 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
9 OFK Levski 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
10 Spartak Pleven II 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
11 Pavlikeni 6 1 0 5 5:11 3
12 Etar II 4 0 1 3 5:9 1
13 Juventus Malchika 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
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