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Kom Berkovitsa vs Troyan

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2025/2026
Kom Berkovitsa Logo

Kom Berkovitsa

4 - 1
FT
Troyan Logo

Troyan

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-West 2025/2026 game between Kom Berkovitsa and Troyan finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kom Berkovitsa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Kom Berkovitsa
30%
Draws
23%
Troyan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kom Berkovitsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Troyan haven't matched Kom Berkovitsa's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Third League - North-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Kom Berkovitsa Clean Sheet 20%
Troyan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kom Berkovitsa Troyan
Matches Played 29 22
Wins 15 5
Draws 8 1
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.97 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.17 2.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Third League - North-West
Kom Berkovitsa vs Troyan
4:1
Nov 8, 2025 Third League - North-West
Troyan vs Kom Berkovitsa
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kom Berkovitsa 31 / 100
Troyan 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kom Berkovitsa Troyan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kom Berkovitsa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Troyan has conceded goals in 82% of their last 22 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Kom Berkovitsa found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Kom Berkovitsa remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kom Berkovitsa VS Troyan
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kom Berkovitsa

(Home)
12 Sept
Kom Berkovitsa
2 : 1
Spartak Pleven II
05 Sept
Lokomotiv Mezdra
4 : 0
Kom Berkovitsa
29 Aug
Kom Berkovitsa
2 : 2
Yantra Polski Trambesh
22 Aug
Etar II
2 : 2
Kom Berkovitsa
23 May
Akademik Svishtov
1 : 1
Kom Berkovitsa
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Troyan

(Away)
23 May
OFK Levski
3 : 1
Troyan
16 May
Troyan
1 : 0
Yantra Polski Trambesh
09 May
Troyan
0 : 1
Pavlikeni
03 May
Kom Berkovitsa
4 : 1
Troyan
25 Apr
Troyan
1 : 4
Lokomotiv Mezdra
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotiv Mezdra 22 19 1 2 62:20 58
2 Akademik Svishtov 22 17 3 2 40:11 54
3 Kom Berkovitsa 22 13 6 3 46:22 45
4 Bdin Vidin 22 14 1 7 57:26 43
5 Partizan Cerven Brjag 22 8 6 8 25:25 30
6 Pavlikeni 22 9 3 10 29:24 30
7 Etar II 22 8 5 9 32:31 29
8 Yantra Polski Trambesh 22 6 6 10 37:47 24
9 OFK Levski 22 6 5 11 32:35 23
10 Troyan 22 5 1 16 20:56 16
11 Juventus Malchika 22 2 1 19 14:72 4
12 FC Lovech 22 6 0 16 18:43 18
Promotion - Vtora liga (Main)