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Kom Podgorica vs FK Podgorica

Montenegro Montenegro

Druga Liga 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
Sili L.

AI Match Summary

Kom Podgorica in this Druga Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kom Podgorica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Kom Podgorica
6%
Draws
90%
FK Podgorica
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FK Podgorica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kom Podgorica have won more games recently than FK Podgorica.
  • Win probability leans FK Podgorica's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Kom Podgorica Clean Sheet 15%
FK Podgorica Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kom Podgorica FK Podgorica
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 3 7
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Druga Liga
Kom Podgorica vs FK Podgorica
1:0
Mar 4, 2026 Druga Liga
FK Podgorica vs Kom Podgorica
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 Druga Liga
Kom Podgorica vs FK Podgorica
1:0
Aug 29, 2025 Druga Liga
FK Podgorica vs Kom Podgorica
0:0
Apr 23, 2025 Druga Liga
FK Podgorica vs Kom Podgorica
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kom Podgorica Compare

Top Goalscorer Sili L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

FK Podgorica Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kom Podgorica 10 / 100
FK Podgorica 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kom Podgorica FK Podgorica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kom Podgorica scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

FK Podgorica has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

FK Podgorica lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kom Podgorica VS FK Podgorica
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Otrant36235881:3174
2Grbalj362141163:4267
3Iskra Danilovgrad361713651:3464
4Berane3612141045:3650
5Kom Podgorica361551647:4350
6Lovcen361461634:4548
7FK Podgorica361381539:4647
8Rudar361291547:4845
9Igalo36882021:5832
10Internacional Podgorica36582331:7623