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Kongsberg vs Arendal

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 5 2012 game between Kongsberg and Arendal finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arendal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Kongsberg
15%
Draws
39%
Arendal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kongsberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Kongsberg haven't matched Arendal's recent run of results.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Kongsberg taking it.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 5 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Kongsberg Clean Sheet 20%
Arendal Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kongsberg Arendal
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 3 6
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 2.06 2.1
Goals Conceded 2.94 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2012 Division 3 - Group 5
Arendal vs Kongsberg
6:1
May 5, 2012 Division 3 - Group 5
Kongsberg vs Arendal
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kongsberg 40 / 100
Arendal 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kongsberg Arendal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kongsberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kongsberg scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Arendal has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Kongsberg went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arendal
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kongsberg

(Home)
22 Oct
Kongsberg
4 : 2
Vestfossen
15 Oct
Baerum 2
4 : 0
Kongsberg
11 Oct
Kongsberg
2 : 1
Mjondalen 2
04 Oct
Stromsgodset 3
2 : 2
Kongsberg
27 Sept
Kongsberg
2 : 3
Odds BK 3
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Arendal

(Away)
20 Sept
Notodden
4 : 1
Arendal
16 Sept
Arendal
1 : 2
Sandnes Ulf
13 Sept
Arendal
2 : 0
Kvik Halden
06 Sept
Bjarg
4 : 0
Arendal
30 Aug
Arendal
2 : 1
Lysekloster
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