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Stadium Background

Kongsvinger vs Lyn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

OBOS-ligaen Gjemselund Stadion, Kongsvinger
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Olsen A.
Assist: Nilsen H.
7' Event
Lysell V.
Assist: Christiansen R.
18' Event
Sande M.
Assist: Job D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this OBOS-ligaen matchup, with the score ending 4-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Kongsvinger
20%
Draws
28%
Lyn
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kongsvinger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Kongsvinger have won more games recently than Lyn.
  • Win probability leans Kongsvinger's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular OBOS-ligaen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Kongsvinger Clean Sheet 10%
Lyn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kongsvinger Lyn
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 3.28 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Kongsvinger vs Lyn
4:4
May 16, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Lyn vs Kongsvinger
0:3
Oct 25, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Lyn vs Kongsvinger
0:1
May 24, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Kongsvinger vs Lyn
2:1
Feb 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Kongsvinger vs Lyn
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kongsvinger Compare

Top Goalscorer Lysell V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sande M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

Lyn Compare

Top Goalscorer Olsen A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Johansen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kongsvinger 83 / 100
Lyn 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kongsvinger Lyn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kongsvinger Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kongsvinger found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Kongsvinger remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Lyn let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kongsvinger VS Lyn
5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kongsvinger

(Home)
05 Oct
Moss
0 : 2
Kongsvinger
20 Sept
Kongsvinger
5 : 1
Hodd
16 Sept
Eidsvold TF
2 : 3
Kongsvinger
13 Sept
Egersund
1 : 1
Kongsvinger
05 Sept
Kongsvinger
9 : 1
Raufoss
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Lyn

(Away)
04 Oct
Bryne
1 : 0
Lyn
20 Sept
Lyn
1 : 4
Ranheim
16 Sept
Gamle Oslo
1 : 3
Lyn
13 Sept
Hodd
0 : 2
Lyn
06 Sept
Lyn
1 : 1
Egersund
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haugesund 24 18 1 5 74:39 55
2 Kongsvinger 24 16 5 3 70:35 53
3 Stromsgodset 24 15 6 3 61:31 51
4 Stabaek 24 14 3 7 57:31 45
5 Odds BK 24 11 6 7 50:38 39
6 Bryne 24 12 2 10 33:31 38
7 Hodd 24 10 4 10 40:48 34
8 Ranheim 24 9 4 11 61:58 31
9 Egersund 24 8 5 11 36:49 29
10 Lyn 24 8 4 12 39:49 28
11 Strommen 24 7 5 12 38:55 26
12 Sandnes Ulf 24 7 4 13 35:45 25
13 Moss 24 7 4 13 38:54 25
14 Sogndal 23 6 5 12 38:53 23
15 Asane 24 5 5 14 34:53 19
16 Raufoss 23 6 1 16 26:61 19
Promotion - Eliteserien 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)