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Kongsvinger vs Ranheim - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

OBOS-ligaen Gjemselund Stadion, Kongsvinger
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kongsvinger host Ranheim in the OBOS-ligaen. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Ranheim have shipped 2.07 goals a game lately, while Kongsvinger have conceded 1.55 and scored 3.38. Past meetings favor Kongsvinger slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 8, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (3.31 - 2.38) back Kongsvinger to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Kongsvinger
30%
Draws
32%
Ranheim
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kongsvinger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kongsvinger lately — more wins on the board than Ranheim.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.6%
Kongsvinger Clean Sheet 10%
Ranheim Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kongsvinger Ranheim
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 3.38 2.41
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 3.31 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Ranheim vs Kongsvinger
1:1
Aug 30, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Kongsvinger vs Ranheim
1:1
May 3, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Ranheim vs Kongsvinger
2:1
Aug 3, 2024 OBOS-ligaen
Ranheim vs Kongsvinger
2:2
Apr 1, 2024 OBOS-ligaen
Kongsvinger vs Ranheim
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kongsvinger 34 / 100
Ranheim 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kongsvinger Ranheim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ranheim Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kongsvinger scored in 97% of their last 29 outings.

Ranheim's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Kongsvinger went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Kongsvinger VS Ranheim
5 Goals Scored 3.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Kongsvinger

(Home)
05 Oct
Moss
0 : 2
Kongsvinger
20 Sept
Kongsvinger
5 : 1
Hodd
16 Sept
Eidsvold TF
2 : 3
Kongsvinger
13 Sept
Egersund
1 : 1
Kongsvinger
05 Sept
Kongsvinger
9 : 1
Raufoss
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Ranheim

(Away)
02 Oct
Ranheim
5 : 0
Egersund
20 Sept
Lyn
1 : 4
Ranheim
16 Sept
Levanger
0 : 2
Ranheim
13 Sept
Ranheim
2 : 2
Asane
05 Sept
Sandnes Ulf
1 : 1
Ranheim
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haugesund 24 18 1 5 74:39 55
2 Kongsvinger 24 16 5 3 70:35 53
3 Stromsgodset 24 15 6 3 61:31 51
4 Stabaek 24 14 3 7 57:31 45
5 Odds BK 24 11 6 7 50:38 39
6 Bryne 24 12 2 10 33:31 38
7 Hodd 24 10 4 10 40:48 34
8 Ranheim 24 9 4 11 61:58 31
9 Egersund 24 8 5 11 36:49 29
10 Lyn 24 8 4 12 39:49 28
11 Strommen 24 7 5 12 38:55 26
12 Sandnes Ulf 24 7 4 13 35:45 25
13 Moss 24 7 4 13 38:54 25
14 Sogndal 23 6 5 12 38:53 23
15 Asane 24 5 5 14 34:53 19
16 Raufoss 23 6 1 16 26:61 19
Promotion - Eliteserien 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)