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Koninklijke HFC vs Jong Sparta Rotterdam - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie Sportpark Spanjaardslaan, Haarlem
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Giersthove D.
Assist: Arcos G.
35'
Sub
van der Sar J. In: Bucker K.
Out: van der Sar J.
42'
Gompel M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tweede Divisie matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Koninklijke HFC
35%
Draws
35%
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Koninklijke HFC lately — more wins on the board than Jong Sparta Rotterdam.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Koninklijke HFC Clean Sheet 10%
Jong Sparta Rotterdam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Koninklijke HFC Jong Sparta Rotterdam
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 3 8
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.21 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.62 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Koninklijke HFC vs Jong Sparta Rotterdam
2:2
Feb 14, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Jong Sparta Rotterdam vs Koninklijke HFC
4:1
Aug 16, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Koninklijke HFC vs Jong Sparta Rotterdam
2:1
Mar 15, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Koninklijke HFC vs Jong Sparta Rotterdam
1:0
Oct 12, 2024 Tweede Divisie
Jong Sparta Rotterdam vs Koninklijke HFC
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Koninklijke HFC Compare

Top Goalscorer Morgan A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Jong Sparta Rotterdam Compare

Top Goalscorer Giersthove D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hanzen D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Koninklijke HFC 34 / 100
Jong Sparta Rotterdam 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Koninklijke HFC Jong Sparta Rotterdam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Sparta Rotterdam Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Jong Sparta Rotterdam conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Koninklijke HFC scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Koninklijke HFC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Koninklijke HFC VS Jong Sparta Rotterdam
1.88 Goals Scored 2.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Koninklijke HFC

(Home)
03 Oct
Koninklijke HFC
2 : 3
Quick Boys
26 Sept
Kozakken Boys
1 : 1
Koninklijke HFC
22 Sept
Koninklijke HFC
3 : 1
VV DOVO
19 Sept
Koninklijke HFC
1 : 3
AFC
12 Sept
De Treffers
1 : 1
Koninklijke HFC
Page 1 of 6

Jong Sparta Rotterdam

(Away)
03 Oct
Barendrecht
3 : 2
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
26 Sept
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 0
HSV Hoek
19 Sept
Spakenburg
1 : 1
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
12 Sept
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2
Katwijk
05 Sept
Koninklijke HFC
2 : 2
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quick Boys 8 7 0 1 22:6 21
2 Kozakken Boys 8 5 2 1 23:12 17
3 De Treffers 8 4 3 1 20:9 15
4 Hardenberg 8 4 2 2 15:12 14
5 Barendrecht 8 4 2 2 15:12 14
6 IJsselmeervogels 7 4 1 2 10:5 13
7 Spakenburg 8 4 1 3 11:12 13
8 Jong Sparta Rotterdam 8 3 3 2 23:15 12
9 Katwijk 8 3 2 3 11:13 11
10 AFC 8 3 1 4 12:14 10
11 Rijnsburgse Boys 8 3 1 4 15:22 10
12 GVVV 7 3 0 4 14:17 9
13 HSV Hoek 8 2 3 3 11:13 9
14 RKAV Volendam 8 2 3 3 10:17 9
15 Jong Almere City 8 2 1 5 15:17 7
16 Koninklijke HFC 8 1 3 4 11:16 6
17 VV Kloetinge 8 1 3 4 11:21 6
18 Rohda Raalte 8 0 1 7 7:23 1
Relegation - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)