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Kopavogur vs Vikingur Reykjavik

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup Kórinn
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kopavogur play Vikingur Reykjavik in the Icelandic Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kopavogur averaged 2.17 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Vikingur Reykjavik averaged 2.84 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. In past meetings, Kopavogur won 1, Vikingur Reykjavik won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 13, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Kopavogur and 2.38 for Vikingur Reykjavik. This points to a Vikingur Reykjavik double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Kopavogur
15%
Draws
51%
Vikingur Reykjavik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vikingur Reykjavik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Kopavogur picked up more points recently compared to Vikingur Reykjavik.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 2.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 97%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Kopavogur Clean Sheet 10%
Vikingur Reykjavik Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 87%
Second Half Goal 92%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kopavogur Vikingur Reykjavik
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 16 27
Draws 3 3
Losses 10 2
Goals Scored 2.17 2.84
Goals Conceded 1.97 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Icelandic Cup
Kopavogur vs Vikingur Reykjavik
0:2
Feb 6, 2025 League Cup
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Kopavogur
2:0
Jul 28, 2024 Besta deild karla
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Kopavogur
5:1
May 5, 2024 Besta deild karla
Kopavogur vs Vikingur Reykjavik
3:1
Aug 13, 2023 Besta deild karla
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Kopavogur
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kopavogur Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Vikingur Reykjavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Ingimundarson V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.95
Avg xA / game 1.81

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kopavogur 33 / 100
Vikingur Reykjavik 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kopavogur Vikingur Reykjavik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Vikingur Reykjavik or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kopavogur attacking → ← attacking Vikingur Reykjavik

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kopavogur scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Vikingur Reykjavik let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Kopavogur went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Vikingur Reykjavik lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 84
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 3.25
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88