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Kopetdag Asgabat vs Ahal Prediction & H2H Stats

Turkmenistan Turkmenistan

Yokary Liga
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ahal in this Yokary Liga matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ahal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Kopetdag Asgabat
30%
Draws
52%
Ahal
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ahal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ahal lately — more wins on the board than Kopetdag Asgabat.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Ahal taking it.
  • Regular Yokary Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ahal have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Kopetdag Asgabat Clean Sheet 10%
Ahal Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kopetdag Asgabat Ahal
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 4 20
Draws 8 5
Losses 19 7
Goals Scored 1.06 2.28
Goals Conceded 2.35 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Yokary Liga
Ahal vs Kopetdag Asgabat
3:0
May 16, 2026 Yokary Liga
Kopetdag Asgabat vs Ahal
0:4
Apr 4, 2026 Yokary Liga
Ahal vs Kopetdag Asgabat
5:1
Oct 29, 2025 Yokary Liga
Kopetdag Asgabat vs Ahal
1:4
Oct 16, 2025 Yokary Liga
Ahal vs Kopetdag Asgabat
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kopetdag Asgabat 14 / 100
Ahal 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kopetdag Asgabat Ahal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ahal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Kopetdag Asgabat scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Kopetdag Asgabat stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Ahal let in goals in 53% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kopetdag Asgabat VS Ahal
1.38 Goals Scored 2.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kopetdag Asgabat

(Home)
20 Sept
Kopetdag Asgabat
0 : 1
Arkadag
12 Sept
Merw
2 : 2
Kopetdag Asgabat
05 Sept
FC Asgabat
1 : 1
Kopetdag Asgabat
30 Aug
Kopetdag Asgabat
2 : 2
Nebitci
22 Aug
Sagadam
3 : 2
Kopetdag Asgabat
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Ahal

(Away)
28 Sept
Ahal
0 : 4
Arkadag
19 Sept
FC Asgabat
2 : 5
Ahal
12 Sept
Ahal
3 : 0
Nebitci
05 Sept
Sagadam
2 : 1
Ahal
22 Aug
Ahal
4 : 0
Merw
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