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Kopetdag Asgabat vs Arkadag Prediction & H2H Stats

Turkmenistan Turkmenistan

Yokary Liga
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AI Match Summary

The Yokary Liga game between Kopetdag Asgabat and Arkadag finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arkadag.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Kopetdag Asgabat
30%
Draws
58%
Arkadag
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arkadag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Arkadag carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Arkadag a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Arkadag have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Kopetdag Asgabat Clean Sheet 10%
Arkadag Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kopetdag Asgabat Arkadag
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 4 31
Draws 7 0
Losses 19 3
Goals Scored 1 3.29
Goals Conceded 2.33 0.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Yokary Liga
Kopetdag Asgabat vs Arkadag
0:1
Jun 20, 2026 Yokary Liga
Arkadag vs Kopetdag Asgabat
3:0
May 10, 2026 Yokary Liga
Kopetdag Asgabat vs Arkadag
1:7
Dec 4, 2025 Yokary Liga
Kopetdag Asgabat vs Arkadag
0:3
Aug 7, 2025 Yokary Liga
Arkadag vs Kopetdag Asgabat
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kopetdag Asgabat 10 / 100
Arkadag 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kopetdag Asgabat Arkadag

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arkadag Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Kopetdag Asgabat scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Kopetdag Asgabat remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Arkadag has conceded goals in 44% of their last 34 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kopetdag Asgabat VS Arkadag
1 Goals Scored 3.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kopetdag Asgabat

(Home)
20 Sept
Kopetdag Asgabat
0 : 1
Arkadag
12 Sept
Merw
2 : 2
Kopetdag Asgabat
05 Sept
FC Asgabat
1 : 1
Kopetdag Asgabat
30 Aug
Kopetdag Asgabat
2 : 2
Nebitci
22 Aug
Sagadam
3 : 2
Kopetdag Asgabat
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Arkadag

(Away)
28 Sept
Ahal
0 : 4
Arkadag
24 Sept
Merw
0 : 5
Arkadag
20 Sept
Kopetdag Asgabat
0 : 1
Arkadag
15 Sept
Arkadag
1 : 0
Al Muharraq
05 Sept
Nebitci
2 : 4
Arkadag
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