Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kopetdag Asgabat vs Merw

Turkmenistan Turkmenistan

Yokary Liga
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Yokary Liga game between Kopetdag Asgabat and Merw finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kopetdag Asgabat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kopetdag Asgabat
6%
Draws
4%
Merw
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kopetdag Asgabat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kopetdag Asgabat carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Kopetdag Asgabat's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Yokary Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Kopetdag Asgabat Clean Sheet 13%
Merw Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kopetdag Asgabat Merw
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 4
Draws 5 5
Losses 20 21
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Yokary Liga
Kopetdag Asgabat vs Merw
2:0
May 2, 2026 Yokary Liga
Merw vs Kopetdag Asgabat
2:1
Oct 26, 2025 Yokary Liga
Merw vs Kopetdag Asgabat
2:2
Sep 22, 2025 Yokary Liga
Kopetdag Asgabat vs Merw
0:0
May 3, 2025 Yokary Liga
Merw vs Kopetdag Asgabat
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kopetdag Asgabat 84 / 100
Merw 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kopetdag Asgabat Merw

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merw has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Kopetdag Asgabat has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Merw lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kopetdag Asgabat VS Merw
1 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kopetdag Asgabat

(Home)
20 Jun
Arkadag
3 : 0
Kopetdag Asgabat
13 Jun
Kopetdag Asgabat
2 : 0
Merw
07 Jun
Kopetdag Asgabat
3 : 1
FC Asgabat
30 May
Nebitci
1 : 0
Kopetdag Asgabat
23 May
Kopetdag Asgabat
0 : 0
Sagadam
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Merw

(Away)
20 Jun
Merw
2 : 0
Sagadam
13 Jun
Kopetdag Asgabat
2 : 0
Merw
07 Jun
Merw
0 : 2
Altyn Asyr
30 May
FC Asgabat
5 : 1
Merw
24 May
Merw
1 : 3
Ahal
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