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Kordrengir vs Afturelding - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 2023
Fri, Jul 7, 2023
VS
07:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kordrengir host Afturelding in the Division 1 2023. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Kordrengir at 2 goals for, 1.4 against; Afturelding at 2.83 for, 1.7 against. Head-to-head, Kordrengir have won 2 to Afturelding's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 9, 2023, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.10 vs 1.99, favoring Afturelding. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Kordrengir
15%
Draws
42%
Afturelding
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kordrengir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Kordrengir haven't matched Afturelding's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Afturelding taking it.
  • Regular Division 1 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Kordrengir Clean Sheet 10%
Afturelding Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kordrengir Afturelding
Matches Played 5 30
Wins 3 19
Draws 0 3
Losses 2 8
Goals Scored 2 2.83
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2023 Division 1
Afturelding vs Kordrengir
0:0
Jul 7, 2023 Division 1
Kordrengir vs Afturelding
0:0
Sep 10, 2022 Division 1
Kordrengir vs Afturelding
4:0
Jul 5, 2022 Division 1
Afturelding vs Kordrengir
2:1
Jun 27, 2022 Icelandic Cup
Kordrengir vs Afturelding
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kordrengir 10 / 100
Afturelding 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kordrengir Afturelding

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afturelding Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kordrengir found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (5 games).

Afturelding let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Kordrengir went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Afturelding
0 Goals Scored 2.88
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kordrengir

(Home)
18 Feb
Kordrengir
0 : 3
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
10 Feb
Breidablik
3 : 0
Kordrengir
17 Sept
Throttur Vogar
0 : 3
Kordrengir
10 Sept
Kordrengir
4 : 0
Afturelding
02 Sept
Grotta
1 : 3
Kordrengir

Afturelding

(Away)
11 Sept
Afturelding
1 : 2
Breidablik
05 Sept
Njardvik
2 : 1
Afturelding
29 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 0
Vestri
25 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 0
Grotta
21 Aug
Aegir
0 : 7
Afturelding
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Akranes 22 15 4 3 54:31 49
2 Afturelding 22 13 4 5 60:33 43
3 Fjolnir 22 12 6 4 55:32 42
4 Vestri 22 11 6 5 37:26 39
5 Leiknir Reykjavik 22 11 2 9 47:37 35
6 Grindavik 22 8 4 10 27:38 28
7 Thor Akureyri 22 8 3 11 27:39 27
8 Throttur 22 7 5 10 45:46 26
9 Grotta 22 6 8 8 34:37 26
10 Njardvik 22 6 5 11 36:47 23
11 Selfoss 22 7 2 13 37:49 23
12 Aegir 22 2 3 17 23:67 9
Promotion - Besta deild karla 2024 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2023 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2024 (Main)