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Kormakur/Hvot vs Throttur Vogar

Iceland Iceland

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Belmonte P.
87' Event
Morlans P.

AI Match Summary

Kormakur/Hvot in this Division 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kormakur/Hvot.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Kormakur/Hvot
15%
Draws
49%
Throttur Vogar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Throttur Vogar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Kormakur/Hvot average 1.88 goals a game right now, well clear of Throttur Vogar's 1.43.
  • Throttur Vogar are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Division 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Kormakur/Hvot Clean Sheet 13%
Throttur Vogar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kormakur/Hvot Throttur Vogar
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 6 3
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.88 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.91 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Division 2
Kormakur/Hvot vs Throttur Vogar
2:0
May 31, 2026 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs Kormakur/Hvot
1:1
Aug 30, 2025 Division 2
Kormakur/Hvot vs Throttur Vogar
0:2
Jun 21, 2025 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs Kormakur/Hvot
2:1
Aug 25, 2024 Division 2
Kormakur/Hvot vs Throttur Vogar
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kormakur/Hvot Compare

Top Goalscorer Belmonte P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morlans P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Throttur Vogar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kormakur/Hvot 27 / 100
Throttur Vogar 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kormakur/Hvot Throttur Vogar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Throttur Vogar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kormakur/Hvot scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Throttur Vogar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Throttur Vogar lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kormakur/Hvot VS Throttur Vogar
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kormakur/Hvot

(Home)
15 Sept
Kormakur/Hvot
1 : 2
Haukar
12 Sept
Kormakur/Hvot
1 : 2
Fjolnir
05 Sept
Hviti
3 : 4
Kormakur/Hvot
29 Aug
Kormakur/Hvot
2 : 3
KFA
22 Aug
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 0
Kormakur/Hvot
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Throttur Vogar

(Away)
12 Sept
Throttur Vogar
2 : 1
Magni
05 Sept
Fjolnir
1 : 1
Throttur Vogar
28 Aug
Kari
2 : 0
Throttur Vogar
23 Aug
Throttur Vogar
1 : 3
Selfoss
19 Aug
Olafsvik
2 : 1
Throttur Vogar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haukar 22 15 2 5 55:32 47
2 Selfoss 22 13 6 3 55:36 45
3 Kari 22 11 9 2 56:29 42
4 Dalvik/Reynir 22 9 4 9 37:37 31
5 Olafsvik 22 9 4 9 33:41 31
6 Fjolnir 22 8 6 8 49:46 30
7 KFA 22 9 2 11 51:45 29
8 Kormakur/Hvot 22 7 6 9 42:38 27
9 Magni 22 7 4 11 35:54 25
10 Throttur Vogar 22 7 2 13 33:42 23
11 KFG Gardabaer 22 7 1 14 38:58 22
12 Hviti 22 3 8 11 28:54 17
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