Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Korofina vs Bakaridjan

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Division game between Korofina and Bakaridjan finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Korofina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Korofina
30%
Draws
29%
Bakaridjan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Korofina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Korofina come out ahead of Bakaridjan on wins alone.
  • 29% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Korofina have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Korofina Clean Sheet 23%
Bakaridjan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Korofina Bakaridjan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 8 10
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.03 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Premiere Division
Bakaridjan vs Korofina
0:1
Jan 4, 2026 Premiere Division
Korofina vs Bakaridjan
2:1
Apr 20, 2025 Premiere Division
Bakaridjan vs Korofina
0:1
Dec 31, 2024 Premiere Division
Korofina vs Bakaridjan
1:0
Feb 1, 2024 Premiere Division
Korofina vs Bakaridjan
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Korofina 33 / 100
Bakaridjan 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Korofina Bakaridjan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bakaridjan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Korofina found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Bakaridjan has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Korofina remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Korofina VS Bakaridjan
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Korofina

(Home)
14 Jun
Korofina
1 : 3
Djoliba
10 Jun
Foot Elite
5 : 3
Korofina
04 Jun
Korofina
2 : 0
Derby Academie
31 May
Korofina
1 : 0
Real Bamako
25 May
Diarra
0 : 0
Korofina
Page 1 of 6

Bakaridjan

(Away)
14 Jun
Bakaridjan
4 : 1
US Bougouni
10 Jun
Onze Createurs
0 : 0
Bakaridjan
04 Jun
Bakaridjan
0 : 2
Stade Malien
31 May
Bougouba
1 : 1
Bakaridjan
25 May
Bakaridjan
0 : 3
Djoliba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)