Sport Picks
Korona Kielce II vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 
Match Events
13'
13'
Majda O.
42'
42'
Ciszek K.
78'
78'
Tobola K.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 game between Korona Kielce II and Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Korona Kielce II.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
39%
30%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Korona Kielce II carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Korona Kielce II Clean Sheet 20%
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Korona Kielce II | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 16 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.38 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.38 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 9, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Korona Kielce II vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
3:1
Oct 18, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow vs Korona Kielce II
0:0
May 25, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow vs Korona Kielce II
2:2
Nov 2, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Korona Kielce II vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Korona Kielce II Compare
Top Goalscorer Ciszek K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tobola K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Compare
Top Goalscorer Majda O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Korona Kielce II 32 / 100
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Korona Kielce II Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick LUB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.
Korona Kielce II scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Korona Kielce II remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Korona Kielce II VS Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Korona Kielce II
(Home) 11 Jul
R. Rzeszow
5 : 0 Korona Kielce II
30 May
Korona Kielce II
4 : 1 Wislanie Skawina
22 May
Korona Kielce II
2 : 1 Czarni Polaniec
16 May
Avia Swidnik
5 : 1 Korona Kielce II
13 May
Korona Kielce II
1 : 0 Wisloka Debica
Page 1 of 6
30 May
Korona Kielce II
4 : 1 Wislanie Skawina
22 May
Korona Kielce II
2 : 1 Czarni Polaniec
13 May
Korona Kielce II
1 : 0 Wisloka Debica
09 May
Korona Kielce II
3 : 1 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
17 Apr
Korona Kielce II
3 : 2 Naprzod Jedrzejow
Page 1 of 3
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
(Away) 11 Jul
Hutnik Krakow
3 : 1 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
08 Jul
Wisloka Debica
1 : 1 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
29 May
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
3 : 1 Star Starachowice
23 May
Wisla II
3 : 1 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
16 May
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
4 : 0 Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Hutnik Krakow
3 : 1 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
08 Jul
Wisloka Debica
1 : 1 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
23 May
Wisla II
3 : 1 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
13 May
Swidniczanka Swidnik
0 : 3 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
09 May
Korona Kielce II
3 : 1 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avia Swidnik | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 84:35 | 77 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 66:30 | 74 |
| 3 | Chelmianka Chelm | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 65:31 | 72 |
| 4 | Korona Kielce II | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 66:59 | 58 |
| 5 | Star Starachowice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 51:43 | 55 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 59:49 | 53 |
| 7 | Biala Podlaska | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 60:48 | 52 |
| 8 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 61:45 | 51 |
| 9 | Wislanie Skawina | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 52:51 | 51 |
| 10 | Wisla II | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 67:58 | 49 |
| 11 | Wisloka Debica | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 37:35 | 48 |
| 12 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 59:52 | 43 |
| 13 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 45:55 | 38 |
| 14 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 15 | Stal Krasnik | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42:52 | 34 |
| 16 | Cracovia II | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 44:71 | 33 |
| 17 | Swidniczanka Swidnik | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:80 | 19 |
| 18 | Sparta Kazimierza Wielka | 34 | 4 | 1 | 29 | 29:110 | 13 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)