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Korona Kielce vs Aris Limassol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Bak D.

AI Match Summary

Korona Kielce in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Korona Kielce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Korona Kielce
20%
Draws
40%
Aris Limassol
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Korona Kielce lately — more wins on the board than Aris Limassol.
  • Win probability leans Aris Limassol's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Korona Kielce Clean Sheet 16%
Aris Limassol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Korona Kielce Aris Limassol
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 7
Draws 9 9
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.14 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Korona Kielce vs Aris Limassol
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Korona Kielce Compare

Top Goalscorer Bak D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Aris Limassol Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Korona Kielce 23 / 100
Aris Limassol 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Korona Kielce Aris Limassol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aris Limassol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Korona Kielce's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Aris Limassol let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Korona Kielce stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Korona Kielce VS Aris Limassol
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Korona Kielce

(Home)
03 Oct
Legia
5 : 1
Korona Kielce
19 Sept
Korona Kielce
3 : 2
Rakow Czestochowa
15 Sept
Korona Kielce
0 : 2
Gornik Zabrze
12 Sept
Slask Wroclaw
1 : 2
Korona Kielce
05 Sept
Korona Kielce
1 : 1
Wisla
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Aris Limassol

(Away)
03 Oct
Aris Limassol
1 : 2
Riga FC
26 Sept
Aris Limassol
4 : 2
Omonia 29th May
20 Sept
Aris Limassol
0 : 0
Karmiotissa
14 Sept
Krasava
0 : 1
Aris Limassol
07 Sept
Aris Limassol
1 : 4
Omonia
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