Sport Picks

Poland

Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 Exbud Arena

Korona Kielce

1 - 1

Jagiellonia

Our Tip

Match Events

22'

Remacle M.

29'

Pululu A.

(Penalty)

30'

Zielinski J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Korona Kielce

20%

Draws

38%

Jagiellonia

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Korona Kielce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Korona Kielce haven't matched Jagiellonia's recent run of results.
Model gives Korona Kielce a 42% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%

Korona Kielce Clean Sheet 18%

Jagiellonia Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Korona Kielce	Jagiellonia
Matches Played	28	27
Wins	9	11
Draws	9	10
Losses	10	6
Goals Scored	1	2
Goals Conceded	0.63	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Ekstraklasa

Korona Kielce vs Jagiellonia

Possession: 55% - 56% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Oct 5, 2025 Ekstraklasa

Jagiellonia vs Korona Kielce

Possession: 58% - 55% Cards: 2 - 0

3:1

Apr 27, 2025 Ekstraklasa

Korona Kielce vs Jagiellonia

Possession: 53% - 44% Cards: 2 - 2

3:1

Oct 27, 2024 Ekstraklasa

Jagiellonia vs Korona Kielce

Possession: 55% - 46% Cards: 3 - 4

3:1

May 11, 2024 Ekstraklasa

Jagiellonia vs Korona Kielce

Possession: 56% - 41% Cards: 1 - 4

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Korona Kielce Compare

Top Goalscorer Remacle M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Jagiellonia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Korona Kielce 41 / 100

Jagiellonia 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Korona Kielce Jagiellonia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Korona Kielce stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Korona Kielce found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Jagiellonia conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Korona Kielce VS Jagiellonia

1 Goals Scored 2

0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88

63% Over 1.5 75%

13% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	34	16	12	6	62:45	60
2	Gornik Zabrze	34	16	8	10	50:38	56
3	Jagiellonia	34	15	11	8	56:41	56
4	Rakow Czestochowa	34	16	7	11	51:40	55
5	GKS Katowice	34	14	8	12	51:45	50
6	Legia	34	12	13	9	42:37	49
7	Zaglebie	34	13	9	12	45:38	48
8	Wisla Plock	34	12	10	12	34:38	46
9	Pogon Szczecin	34	13	6	15	47:49	45
10	Radomiak Radom	34	11	11	12	52:53	44
11	Korona Kielce	34	11	10	13	40:40	43
12	Motor Lublin	34	10	13	11	46:53	43
13	Cracovia	34	9	15	10	39:42	42
14	Widzew Lodz	34	12	6	16	41:41	42
15	Piast Gliwice	34	11	8	15	42:46	41
16	Lechia Gdansk	34	12	7	15	62:65	38
17	Arka Gdynia	34	9	9	16	34:61	36
18	Termalica Bruk-Bet	34	9	7	18	43:65	34