Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Korona Kielce vs Widzew Lodz

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 Exbud Arena, Kielce
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Svetlin T.
21'
Kornvig E.
45'
Shehu J.

AI Match Summary

Korona Kielce in this Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Korona Kielce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Korona Kielce
30%
Draws
34%
Widzew Lodz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Korona Kielce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Widzew Lodz have won more games recently than Korona Kielce.
  • Korona Kielce are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Korona Kielce here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Korona Kielce Clean Sheet 20%
Widzew Lodz Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Korona Kielce Widzew Lodz
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 9 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce vs Widzew Lodz
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Widzew Lodz vs Korona Kielce
1:3
Apr 11, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce vs Widzew Lodz
2:1
Dec 4, 2024 Polish Cup
Korona Kielce vs Widzew Lodz
1:0
Oct 4, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Widzew Lodz vs Korona Kielce
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Korona Kielce Compare

Top Goalscorer Blanik D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Widzew Lodz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Korona Kielce 36 / 100
Widzew Lodz 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Korona Kielce Widzew Lodz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Korona Kielce found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Widzew Lodz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Korona Kielce remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Korona Kielce VS Widzew Lodz
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Korona Kielce

(Home)
17 Jul
Korona Kielce
0 : 2
Termalica Bruk-Bet
14 Jul
Korona Kielce
0 : 0
S. Rzeszow
09 Jul
Korona Kielce
0 : 0
Omonia
04 Jul
Korona Kielce
4 : 0
Michalovce
23 May
Cracovia
1 : 1
Korona Kielce
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Widzew Lodz

(Away)
19 Jul
Widzew Lodz
2 : 0
Puszcza
13 Jul
Widzew Lodz
4 : 3
FC Marchfeld Donauauen
10 Jul
Widzew Lodz
2 : 0
Besiktas
04 Jul
Widzew Lodz
0 : 0
Dun. Streda
27 Jun
Widzew Lodz
4 : 0
S. Rzeszow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lech Poznan341612662:4560
2Gornik Zabrze341681050:3856
3Jagiellonia341511856:4156
4Rakow Czestochowa341671151:4055
5GKS Katowice341481251:4550
6Legia341213942:3749
7Zaglebie341391245:3848
8Wisla Plock3412101234:3846
9Pogon Szczecin341361547:4945
10Radomiak Radom3411111252:5344
11Korona Kielce3411101340:4043
12Motor Lublin3410131146:5343
13Cracovia349151039:4242
14Widzew Lodz341261641:4142
15Piast Gliwice341181542:4641
16Lechia Gdansk341271562:6538
17Arka Gdynia34991634:6136
18Termalica Bruk-Bet34971843:6534
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)