Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Korsnas vs Gefle

Sweden Sweden

Svenska Cupen 2025/2026
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Match Events

84' Event
Kallberg I.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Korsnas advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Korsnas
15%
Draws
51%
Gefle
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gefle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Gefle carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Gefle arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Korsnas, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Korsnas Clean Sheet 10%
Gefle Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Korsnas Gefle
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 5 10
Draws 7 3
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.14 1.14
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2025 Svenska Cupen
Korsnas vs Gefle
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Korsnas Compare

Top Goalscorer Kallberg I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Gefle Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Korsnas 34 / 100
Gefle 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Korsnas Gefle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gefle Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gefle conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Korsnas found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Away concern: Gefle has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Korsnas VS Gefle
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Korsnas

(Home)
26 Sept
Viggbyholms
2 : 4
Korsnas
19 Sept
Korsnas
0 : 3
Lidingo IFK
13 Sept
Skiljebo
2 : 1
Korsnas
05 Sept
Korsnas
0 : 2
Kungsangen
30 Aug
Angby
2 : 2
Korsnas
Page 1 of 6

Gefle

(Away)
27 Sept
Gefle
0 : 1
Vasalund
20 Sept
AFC Eskilstuna
0 : 1
Gefle
16 Sept
Gefle
0 : 2
FC Arlanda
12 Sept
Gefle
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
05 Sept
Sollentuna
1 : 0
Gefle
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Gimo 2
Haninge 3
TBD -
Elfsborg -
Pitea 5
Skelleftea 1
TBD -
Sirius -
Viken 0
Karlstad 4
TBD -
Umea FC -
Viggbyholms 3
Gute 2
TBD -
Norrkoping -
FC Jarfalla 5
IK Franke 1
TBD -
Djurgarden -
Assyriska FF 2
Sollentuna 0
TBD -
Sandviken -
Ursvik IK 2
Syrianska 3
TBD -
Orebro -
Hudiksvall 3
Friska Viljor 2
TBD -
AIK -
Enkopings SK 4
Vasalund 2
TBD -
Degerfors -
Taby FK 2
FC Arlanda 1
TBD -
Ostersund -
IFK Stocksund 0
Karlbergs 5
TBD -
Brage -
Torstorps IF 2
Hjulsbro 1
TBD -
Sundsvall -
Farsta 1
FC Stockholm Internazionale 2
TBD -
Brommapojkarna -
Karlslund 0
FBK Karlstad 1
TBD -
Oddevold -
Korsnas 1
Gefle 0
TBD -
Hammarby -
Dvarsatts BK 1
Kubikenborgs 4
TBD -
Vasteras SK -
Ockero IF 2
Trollhattan 0
TBD -
Landskrona -
Lodde 4
Rosengard 3
TBD -
GAIS -
Laholms 0
Eskilsminne 2
TBD -
Varberg -
Balkan 0
Lunds Bois 3
TBD -
Trelleborg -
Tidaholm IFK 0
Nassjo 3
TBD -
Hacken -
IFK Berga 1
Solvesborgs 3
TBD -
Falkenberg -
Jonkoping Torpa 0
IFK Skovde 3
TBD -
Utsikten -
Sylvia 2
Arameisk-Syrianska 0
TBD -
Kalmar -
Vanersborgs FK 2
Torslanda 1
TBD -
Helsingborg -
Stenungsunds IF 1
Qviding 2
TBD -
IFK Goteborg -
Vastboas GoIF 0
Myresjo Vetlanda 2
TBD -
Halmstad -
Eslov 0
Olympic 3
TBD -
Malmo FF -
Gauthiod 2
IK Zenith 3
TBD -
Orgryte -
IF Centern 3
Hogaborgs 2
TBD -
Varnamo -
Rappe GOIF 1
Kristianstad 0
TBD -
Oster -
Onsala 4
Lindome 2
TBD -
Mjallby -
Final
Haninge 0
Elfsborg 1
Pitea 0
Sirius 5
Karlstad 2
Umea FC 1
Viggbyholms 0
Norrkoping 3
FC Jarfalla 1
Djurgarden 4
Assyriska FF 0
Sandviken 1
Syrianska 0
Orebro 2
Hudiksvall 0
AIK 7
Enkopings SK 1
Degerfors 2
Taby FK 0
Ostersund 1
Karlbergs 2
Brage 3
Torstorps IF 0
Sundsvall 2
FC Stockholm Internazionale 0
Brommapojkarna 2
FBK Karlstad 0
Oddevold 6
Korsnas 0
Hammarby 3
Kubikenborgs 0
Vasteras SK 1
Ockero IF 1
Landskrona 3
Lodde 1
GAIS 3
Eskilsminne 1
Varberg 2
Lunds Bois 2
Trelleborg 3
Nassjo 0
Hacken 8
Solvesborgs 0
Falkenberg 2
IFK Skovde 3
Utsikten 2
Sylvia 0
Kalmar 5
Vanersborgs FK 0
Helsingborg 1
Qviding 0
IFK Goteborg 4
Myresjo Vetlanda 1
Halmstad 4
Olympic 0
Malmo FF 1
IK Zenith 1
Orgryte 2
IF Centern 1
Varnamo 3
Rappe GOIF 1
Oster 5
Onsala 1
Mjallby 2