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Korsvoll vs Holmlia

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 1 2012 game between Korsvoll and Holmlia finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Korsvoll
15%
Draws
0%
Holmlia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Korsvoll

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Korsvoll carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Korsvoll a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 1 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Korsvoll Clean Sheet 20%
Holmlia Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Korsvoll Holmlia
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 4
Draws 5 4
Losses 19 22
Goals Scored 1.22 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.13 3.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2013 Division 3 - Group 2
Holmlia vs Korsvoll
2:1
May 9, 2013 Division 3 - Group 2
Korsvoll vs Holmlia
4:2
Oct 6, 2012 Division 3 - Group 1
Korsvoll vs Holmlia
1:1
Jun 16, 2012 Division 3 - Group 1
Holmlia vs Korsvoll
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Korsvoll 85 / 100
Holmlia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Korsvoll Holmlia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Korsvoll Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holmlia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Holmlia has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Korsvoll found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Korsvoll VS Holmlia
0.25 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
25% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Korsvoll

(Home)
27 Oct
Korsvoll
2 : 4
Skjervoy
20 Oct
Skarp
3 : 3
Korsvoll
13 Oct
Korsvoll
0 : 3
Frigg
07 Oct
Senja
3 : 1
Korsvoll
30 Sept
Korsvoll
0 : 1
Finnsnes
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Holmlia

(Away)
24 May
Holmlia
0 : 2
Skeid
26 Apr
Holmlia
0 : 9
Stabaek
19 Oct
Gjerdrum Idrettslag
3 : 0
Holmlia
13 Oct
Holmlia
0 : 7
Lyn 2
07 Oct
Stabaek 2
7 : 2
Holmlia
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