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Kose vs JK Poseidon

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with JK Poseidon advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Kose
15%
Draws
51%
JK Poseidon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: JK Poseidon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and JK Poseidon come out ahead of Kose on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Kose taking it.
  • JK Poseidon arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor JK Poseidon, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 88%
Over 4.5 Goals 40%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Kose Clean Sheet 10%
JK Poseidon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kose JK Poseidon
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 9 12
Draws 0 0
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.36 2.08
Goals Conceded 4.36 4.15
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 3.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2020 Estonian Cup
JK Poseidon vs Kose
0:2
Aug 2, 2016 Estonian Cup
Kose vs JK Poseidon
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kose 40 / 100
JK Poseidon 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kose JK Poseidon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

JK Poseidon has conceded goals in 81% of their last 26 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Kose's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Recent resilience: Kose stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kose VS JK Poseidon
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
5 Goals Conceded 3.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Kose

(Home)
12 Aug
Kose
0 : 8
Tartu JK Welco
25 Jul
EstHam United
1 : 5
Kose
16 Jun
Kose
8 : 0
Kummik
25 Jul
Kose
0 : 7
Kuressaare
30 Jul
Kose
1 : 6
Tartu Kalev
Page 1 of 6

JK Poseidon

(Away)
11 Aug
JK Poseidon
0 : 12
Kalju
23 Jul
JK Poseidon
3 : 2
Helm
15 Oct
JK Poseidon
0 : 6
Tartu JK Welco
27 Aug
JK Poseidon
1 : 0
Tallinna Kalev U21
26 Jul
Maardu Aliens
1 : 4
JK Poseidon
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Tulevik 4
Tallinna Kalev III 0
TBD -
Loo JK -
Maardu United -
TBD -
Roosu -
Sillamae Kalev -
Tartu Ulikool -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Jalgpalliselts -
Castovanni Eagles -
Pedajamae -
TBD -
SK EPMU Tartu -
Rumori Calcio -
TBD -
Zenit Tallinn 4
Merkuur Tartu 6
Vastseliina Tannem 2
Koeru 0
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool 1
Kadakas 2
Levadia Tallinn III 8
Raudteetoolised 0
Fellin 0
Keila JK 1
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
Santos Tartu 0
Tammeka Tartu 2
Tallinna Kalev 14
Paduvere SK Illi 0
IceBears 0
Elva 13
JK Jalgpallihaigla -
TBD -
Helios 2
SK Taaksi 3
Flora U19 2
Puhkus Mehhikos 0
TBD -
Johvi Phoenix -
Imavere Forss -
TBD -
Lelle 1
Molycorp Silmet 6
FCI Tallinn II 6
Tallinna Depoo 0
TBD -
Viimsi JK 2 -
Jogeva Wolves 7
Reaal 0
TBD -
Saue JK Laagri -
Rakvere 13
FC Sssolutions 0
Tabasalu 1
Maardu Linnameeskond 2
Nomme Utd 24
Oismae Torm 0
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Kalju 8
Tallinn Forza 0
TBD -
Narva -
Kose -
TBD -
Enamasti Pealekata 0
JK Poseidon 7
Torva JK -
TBD -
Castovanni Eagles 2 0
Ambla 4
Tartu JK Welco 6
Igiliikur 0
FCP Parnu 0
Flora 11
Levadia -
TBD -
Tammeka Tartu II 1
Parnu Linnameeskond 4
Raplamaa 4
Rada Kuusalu 0
TBD -
Raasiku Joker -
FC Tartu -
TBD -
Kaitseliit -
Eston Villa -
Tallinn Piraaja 11
Tallinna Wolves 1
TBD -
FCI Tallinn -
Narva United 2
Otepaa 1
FC Ararat -
Jarva-Jaani -
TransferWise 3
Olympic Tallinn 2
TBD -
Viimsi JK -
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 3
Kohtla-Nomme 0
Valga Warrior 0
Twister Tallinn 7
Kalju III -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
Marjamaa 4
Navi Vutiselts 0
TBD -
Kivioli Irbis -
Jogeva -
TBD -
Pirita 1
Terav Sats 2
Legion -
TBD -
TBD -
Ganvix Turi -
Soccernet 8
Jogeva Wolves II 1
Vaatsa Vald -
Kuressaare -
1/32-finals
Tulevik 13
Loo JK 0
Maardu United 2
Sillamae Kalev 10
Tartu Ulikool 3
Tallinna Jalgpalliselts 0
Castovanni Eagles 0
SK EPMU Tartu 1
Rumori Calcio 4
Merkuur Tartu 3
Vastseliina Tannem 3
Kadakas 5
Levadia Tallinn III 4
Keila JK 1
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Tammeka Tartu 3
Tallinna Kalev 3
Elva 2
JK Jalgpallihaigla 0
SK Taaksi 5
Flora U19 2
Johvi Phoenix 1
Imavere Forss 0
Molycorp Silmet 2
FCI Tallinn II 5
Viimsi JK 2 0
Jogeva Wolves 1
Saue JK Laagri 6
Rakvere 5
Maardu Linnameeskond 1
Nomme Utd 0
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Kalju 2
Narva 0
Kose 0
JK Poseidon 2
Torva JK 5
Ambla 2
Tartu JK Welco 0
Flora 8
Levadia 4
Parnu Linnameeskond 2
Raplamaa 3
Raasiku Joker 4
FC Tartu 5
Eston Villa 4
Tallinn Piraaja 0
FCI Tallinn 9
Narva United 4
Jarva-Jaani 1
TransferWise 1
Viimsi JK 6
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve -
Twister Tallinn -
Kalju III 0
Flora Tallinn U21 5
Marjamaa -
Kivioli Irbis -
Jogeva 0
Terav Sats 3
Legion 1
Ganvix Turi 0
Soccernet 1
Kuressaare 5
1/16-finals
Tulevik 1
Sillamae Kalev 0
Tartu Ulikool 4
SK EPMU Tartu 6
Rumori Calcio 4
Kadakas 3
Levadia Tallinn III 1
Tammeka Tartu 8
Tallinna Kalev 5
SK Taaksi 0
Flora U19 5
Molycorp Silmet 6
FCI Tallinn II 3
Saue JK Laagri 0
Rakvere 2
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Kalju 10
JK Poseidon 0
Torva JK 0
Flora 5
Levadia 7
Raasiku Joker 0
FC Tartu 0
FCI Tallinn 11
Narva United 1
Viimsi JK 0
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 0
Flora Tallinn U21 2
Marjamaa 2
Terav Sats 0
Legion 2
Kuressaare 3
1/8-finals
Tulevik 5
SK EPMU Tartu 0
Rumori Calcio 1
Tammeka Tartu 5
Tallinna Kalev 11
Molycorp Silmet 0
FCI Tallinn II 1
Paide Linnameeskond 4
Kalju 1
Flora 0
Levadia 1
FCI Tallinn 2
Narva United 3
Flora Tallinn U21 1
Marjamaa 0
Kuressaare 5
Quarter-finals
Tulevik 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Tallinna Kalev 0
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Kalju 1
FCI Tallinn 2
Narva United 3
Kuressaare 1
Semi-finals
Tammeka Tartu 1
Paide Linnameeskond 0
FCI Tallinn 2
Narva United 0
Final
Tammeka Tartu 0
FCI Tallinn 2