Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
Jashari M.
Assist: Muriqi V.
25'
25'
Sirvys P.
37'
37'
Rexhbecaj E.
AI Match Summary
The UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 game between Kosovo and Lithuania finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kosovo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lithuania
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Kosovo carry the better recent record into this one.
- Kosovo are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Kosovo here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Kosovo Clean Sheet 20%
Lithuania Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kosovo | Lithuania |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 26 |
| Wins | 16 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.54 | 0.85 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 18, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Kosovo vs Lithuania
1:0
Oct 12, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Lithuania vs Kosovo
1:2
Mar 24, 2021 Friendly International
Kosovo vs Lithuania
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kosovo Compare
Top Goalscorer Jashari M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Lithuania Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kosovo 36 / 100
Lithuania 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kosovo Lithuania
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kosovo's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Lithuania's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 26 matches.
Games between these two average 2.67 goals.
Solid form: Kosovo remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Kosovo VS Lithuania
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Kosovo
(Home) 27 Sept
Austria
3 : 1 Kosovo
24 Sept
Kosovo
1 : 0 Ireland
07 Jun
Kosovo
3 : 0 Andorra
31 May
Czech Republic
2 : 1 Kosovo
31 Mar
Kosovo
0 : 1 Turkey
Page 1 of 6
24 Sept
Kosovo
1 : 0 Ireland
07 Jun
Kosovo
3 : 0 Andorra
31 Mar
Kosovo
0 : 1 Turkey
18 Nov
Kosovo
1 : 1 Switzerland
10 Oct
Kosovo
0 : 0 Slovenia
Page 1 of 3
Lithuania
(Away) 27 Sept
Lithuania
1 : 1 Azerbaijan
24 Sept
Liechtenstein
0 : 2 Lithuania
09 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0 Lithuania
06 Jun
Lithuania
2 : 1 Latvia
29 Mar
Lithuania
0 : 2 Georgia
Page 1 of 6
24 Sept
Liechtenstein
0 : 2 Lithuania
09 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0 Lithuania
26 Mar
Moldova
0 : 2 Lithuania
17 Nov
Netherlands
4 : 0 Lithuania
09 Oct
Finland
2 : 1 Lithuania
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweden | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Estonia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:9 | 4 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:17 | 1 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League C/D)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Romania | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 18 |
| 2 | Kosovo | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 3 | Cyprus | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:15 | 6 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League C/D)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:3 | 11 |
| 2 | Bulgaria | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3:6 | 9 |
| 3 | Belarus | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3:4 | 7 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League C/D)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North Macedonia | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10:1 | 16 |
| 2 | Armenia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 3 | Faroe Islands | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Latvia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:11 | 4 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League C/D)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
