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Kostinbrod vs Balkan Botevgrad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Balkan Botevgrad in this Third League - South-West matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Balkan Botevgrad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Kostinbrod
15%
Draws
46%
Balkan Botevgrad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Balkan Botevgrad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kostinbrod lately — more wins on the board than Balkan Botevgrad.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Kostinbrod taking it.
  • Regular Third League - South-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Kostinbrod Clean Sheet 20%
Balkan Botevgrad Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kostinbrod Balkan Botevgrad
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 3 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.14 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Balkan Botevgrad
0:1
Mar 21, 2026 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Balkan Botevgrad
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Third League - South-West
Balkan Botevgrad vs Kostinbrod
2:2
Apr 27, 2024 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Balkan Botevgrad
1:0
Oct 7, 2023 Third League - South-West
Balkan Botevgrad vs Kostinbrod
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kostinbrod 40 / 100
Balkan Botevgrad 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kostinbrod Balkan Botevgrad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kostinbrod Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kostinbrod's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Balkan Botevgrad let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Kostinbrod stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kostinbrod VS Balkan Botevgrad
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kostinbrod

(Home)
03 Oct
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 0
Kostinbrod
26 Sept
Kostinbrod
0 : 1
Balkan Botevgrad
19 Sept
Belasitsa Petrich
0 : 1
Kostinbrod
12 Sept
Slivnishki Geroy
0 : 3
Kostinbrod
05 Sept
Kostinbrod
1 : 3
Septemvri Sofia 2
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Balkan Botevgrad

(Away)
07 Oct
Belasitsa Petrich
1 : 2
Balkan Botevgrad
03 Oct
Balkan Botevgrad
0 : 3
Fratria
26 Sept
Kostinbrod
0 : 1
Balkan Botevgrad
19 Sept
Balkan Botevgrad
2 : 2
Slivnishki Geroy
12 Sept
Septemvri Sofia 2
2 : 0
Balkan Botevgrad
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