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Kostinbrod vs Chavdar Etropole - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kostinbrod host Chavdar Etropole in the Third League - South-West. Kostinbrod are expected to control this from the start. Kostinbrod have averaged 1.2 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Chavdar Etropole's 0.41 scored and 2.76 conceded. Head-to-head, Kostinbrod have won 2 to Chavdar Etropole's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 2, 2024, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 1.00, favoring Kostinbrod. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Kostinbrod
15%
Draws
42%
Chavdar Etropole
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kostinbrod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kostinbrod come out ahead of Chavdar Etropole on wins alone.
  • Model gives Kostinbrod a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - South-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Kostinbrod Clean Sheet 20%
Chavdar Etropole Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kostinbrod Chavdar Etropole
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 3
Draws 3 1
Losses 12 25
Goals Scored 1.2 0.41
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2024 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Chavdar Etropole
3:0
Aug 16, 2023 Third League - South-West
Chavdar Etropole vs Kostinbrod
5:1
May 13, 2023 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Chavdar Etropole
0:1
Apr 8, 2023 Third League - South-West
Chavdar Etropole vs Kostinbrod
3:2
Feb 26, 2022 Third League - South-West
Chavdar Etropole vs Kostinbrod
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kostinbrod 85 / 100
Chavdar Etropole 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kostinbrod Chavdar Etropole

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kostinbrod Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chavdar Etropole let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Kostinbrod's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Away concern: Chavdar Etropole has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kostinbrod VS Chavdar Etropole
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.75
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kostinbrod

(Home)
03 Oct
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 0
Kostinbrod
26 Sept
Kostinbrod
0 : 1
Balkan Botevgrad
19 Sept
Belasitsa Petrich
0 : 1
Kostinbrod
12 Sept
Slivnishki Geroy
0 : 3
Kostinbrod
05 Sept
Kostinbrod
1 : 3
Septemvri Sofia 2
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Chavdar Etropole

(Away)
03 Oct
Chavdar Etropole
2 : 1
Slivnishki Geroy
26 Sept
Septemvri Sofia 2
0 : 1
Chavdar Etropole
19 Sept
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 3
Levski Sofia II
12 Sept
Slavia Sofia 2
4 : 0
Chavdar Etropole
05 Sept
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 4
Botev Ihtiman
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