Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Third League - South-West

Kostinbrod

3 - 2

CSKA Sofia III

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kostinbrod in this Third League - South-West matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kostinbrod.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Kostinbrod

Draws

90%

CSKA Sofia III

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: CSKA Sofia III

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to CSKA Sofia III lately — more wins on the board than Kostinbrod.
CSKA Sofia III are the model's pick here, at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%

Kostinbrod Clean Sheet 16%

CSKA Sofia III Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kostinbrod	CSKA Sofia III
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	12	14
Draws	5	4
Losses	13	11
Goals Scored	0.88	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Third League - South-West

CSKA Sofia III vs Kostinbrod

Possession: 45% - 50% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

Nov 15, 2025 Third League - South-West

Kostinbrod vs CSKA Sofia III

Possession: 54% - 58% Cards: 3 - 1

3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kostinbrod 10 / 100

CSKA Sofia III 84 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kostinbrod CSKA Sofia III

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSK Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kostinbrod's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

CSKA Sofia III's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Kostinbrod stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kostinbrod VS CSKA Sofia III

0.88 Goals Scored 1.25

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rilski Sportist	34	25	5	4	58:23	80
2	Strumska Slava	34	20	5	9	71:45	65
3	Slavia Sofia 2	34	17	6	11	68:44	57
4	Botev Ihtiman	34	14	9	11	53:40	51
5	Kyustendil	34	15	5	14	49:52	50
6	CSKA Sofia III	34	15	5	14	49:43	50
7	Oborishte Panagyurishte	34	14	7	13	43:37	49
8	Balkan Botevgrad	34	13	10	11	50:45	49
9	Septemvri Sofia 2	34	13	9	12	50:43	48
10	Septemvri Simitli	34	13	8	13	41:40	47
11	Kostinbrod	34	14	5	15	47:51	47
12	Pirin Razlog	34	13	6	15	43:48	45
13	Bansko	34	11	11	12	39:45	44
14	Slivnishki Geroy	34	11	9	14	40:49	42
15	Levski Sofia II	34	11	7	16	30:44	40
16	Gotse Delchev	34	11	4	19	43:70	37
17	Germaneya	34	4	6	24	38:75	18
18	Bistritsa	34	11	5	18	44:62	38