Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Third League - South-West

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kostinbrod host Germaneya in the Third League - South-West. Kostinbrod are expected to control this from the start. Kostinbrod have averaged 0.88 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against Germaneya's 1.13 scored and 2.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Kostinbrod slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.38) point toward Kostinbrod. Kostinbrod in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Kostinbrod

17%

Draws

13%

Germaneya

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Kostinbrod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Kostinbrod has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Germaneya.
Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Kostinbrod.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Third League - South-West provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Kostinbrod Clean Sheet 17%

Germaneya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kostinbrod	Germaneya
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	12	4
Draws	5	4
Losses	13	23
Goals Scored	0.88	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.63	2.13
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Third League - South-West

Kostinbrod vs Germaneya

Possession: 49% - 54% Cards: 3 - 1

2:0

Aug 30, 2025 Third League - South-West

Germaneya vs Kostinbrod

Possession: 51% - 54% Cards: 1 - 4

0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kostinbrod 66 / 100

Germaneya 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kostinbrod Germaneya

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kostinbrod scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Germaneya let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Kostinbrod went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Germaneya lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kostinbrod VS Germaneya

0.88 Goals Scored 1.13

1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13

75% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rilski Sportist	34	25	5	4	58:23	80
2	Strumska Slava	34	20	5	9	71:45	65
3	Slavia Sofia 2	34	17	6	11	68:44	57
4	Botev Ihtiman	34	14	9	11	53:40	51
5	Kyustendil	34	15	5	14	49:52	50
6	CSKA Sofia III	34	15	5	14	49:43	50
7	Oborishte Panagyurishte	34	14	7	13	43:37	49
8	Balkan Botevgrad	34	13	10	11	50:45	49
9	Septemvri Sofia 2	34	13	9	12	50:43	48
10	Septemvri Simitli	34	13	8	13	41:40	47
11	Kostinbrod	34	14	5	15	47:51	47
12	Pirin Razlog	34	13	6	15	43:48	45
13	Bansko	34	11	11	12	39:45	44
14	Slivnishki Geroy	34	11	9	14	40:49	42
15	Levski Sofia II	34	11	7	16	30:44	40
16	Gotse Delchev	34	11	4	19	43:70	37
17	Germaneya	34	4	6	24	38:75	18
18	Bistritsa	34	11	5	18	44:62	38