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Kostinbrod vs Levski Sofia II

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between Kostinbrod and Levski Sofia II finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kostinbrod.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Kostinbrod
20%
Draws
15%
Levski Sofia II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kostinbrod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Levski Sofia II haven't matched Kostinbrod's recent run of results.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Kostinbrod taking it.
  • Regular Third League - South-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Kostinbrod Clean Sheet 17%
Levski Sofia II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kostinbrod Levski Sofia II
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 3 6
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.27 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Third League - South-West
Levski Sofia II vs Kostinbrod
1:2
May 23, 2026 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Levski Sofia II
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Third League - South-West
Levski Sofia II vs Kostinbrod
2:0
Apr 20, 2024 Third League - South-West
Levski Sofia II vs Kostinbrod
0:1
Sep 30, 2023 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Levski Sofia II
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kostinbrod 66 / 100
Levski Sofia II 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kostinbrod Levski Sofia II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kostinbrod Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kostinbrod scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Levski Sofia II has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Kostinbrod stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kostinbrod VS Levski Sofia II
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kostinbrod

(Home)
12 Sept
Slivnishki Geroy
0 : 3
Kostinbrod
05 Sept
Kostinbrod
1 : 3
Septemvri Sofia 2
29 Aug
Levski Sofia II
1 : 2
Kostinbrod
23 Aug
Kostinbrod
1 : 0
Slavia Sofia 2
15 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
1 : 0
Kostinbrod
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Levski Sofia II

(Away)
12 Sept
Levski Sofia II
0 : 0
CSKA Sofia III
05 Sept
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 0
Levski Sofia II
29 Aug
Levski Sofia II
1 : 2
Kostinbrod
22 Aug
Slivnishki Geroy
1 : 0
Levski Sofia II
15 Aug
Levski Sofia II
1 : 1
Septemvri Sofia 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rilski Sportist 34 25 5 4 58:23 80
2 Strumska Slava 34 20 5 9 71:45 65
3 Slavia Sofia 2 34 17 6 11 68:44 57
4 Botev Ihtiman 34 14 9 11 53:40 51
5 Kyustendil 34 15 5 14 49:52 50
6 CSKA Sofia III 34 15 5 14 49:43 50
7 Oborishte Panagyurishte 34 14 7 13 43:37 49
8 Balkan Botevgrad 34 13 10 11 50:45 49
9 Septemvri Sofia 2 34 13 9 12 50:43 48
10 Septemvri Simitli 34 13 8 13 41:40 47
11 Kostinbrod 34 14 5 15 47:51 47
12 Pirin Razlog 34 13 6 15 43:48 45
13 Bansko 34 11 11 12 39:45 44
14 Slivnishki Geroy 34 11 9 14 40:49 42
15 Levski Sofia II 34 11 7 16 30:44 40
16 Gotse Delchev 34 11 4 19 43:70 37
17 Germaneya 34 4 6 24 38:75 18
18 Bistritsa 34 11 5 18 44:62 38
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)