Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Third League - South-West

Kostinbrod

1 - 1

Slivnishki Geroy

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West game between Kostinbrod and Slivnishki Geroy finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Kostinbrod

33%

Draws

40%

Slivnishki Geroy

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Slivnishki Geroy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Kostinbrod come out ahead of Slivnishki Geroy on wins alone.
Model gives Slivnishki Geroy a 40% chance of winning this.
Regular Third League - South-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Kostinbrod Clean Sheet 13%

Slivnishki Geroy Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kostinbrod	Slivnishki Geroy
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	9
Draws	5	8
Losses	13	13
Goals Scored	0.88	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.63	1
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Third League - South-West

Kostinbrod vs Slivnishki Geroy

Possession: 48% - 52% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Oct 25, 2025 Third League - South-West

Slivnishki Geroy vs Kostinbrod

Possession: 51% - 48% Cards: 2 - 4

0:2

May 8, 2024 Third League - South-West

Kostinbrod vs Slivnishki Geroy

Possession: 57% - 59% Cards: 1 - 2

0:2

Oct 21, 2023 Third League - South-West

Slivnishki Geroy vs Kostinbrod

Possession: 44% - 59% Cards: 2 - 3

2:2

May 27, 2023 Third League - South-West

Kostinbrod vs Slivnishki Geroy

Possession: 42% - 47% Cards: 1 - 2

3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kostinbrod 27 / 100

Slivnishki Geroy 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kostinbrod Slivnishki Geroy

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SLI Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kostinbrod scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Slivnishki Geroy conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Kostinbrod stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kostinbrod VS Slivnishki Geroy

0.88 Goals Scored 1.75

1.63 Goals Conceded 1

75% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rilski Sportist	34	25	5	4	58:23	80
2	Strumska Slava	34	20	5	9	71:45	65
3	Slavia Sofia 2	34	17	6	11	68:44	57
4	Botev Ihtiman	34	14	9	11	53:40	51
5	Kyustendil	34	15	5	14	49:52	50
6	CSKA Sofia III	34	15	5	14	49:43	50
7	Oborishte Panagyurishte	34	14	7	13	43:37	49
8	Balkan Botevgrad	34	13	10	11	50:45	49
9	Septemvri Sofia 2	34	13	9	12	50:43	48
10	Septemvri Simitli	34	13	8	13	41:40	47
11	Kostinbrod	34	14	5	15	47:51	47
12	Pirin Razlog	34	13	6	15	43:48	45
13	Bansko	34	11	11	12	39:45	44
14	Slivnishki Geroy	34	11	9	14	40:49	42
15	Levski Sofia II	34	11	7	16	30:44	40
16	Gotse Delchev	34	11	4	19	43:70	37
17	Germaneya	34	4	6	24	38:75	18
18	Bistritsa	34	11	5	18	44:62	38