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Kottern-St. Mang vs Gersthofen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

Gersthofen in this Oberliga Bayern Süd 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gersthofen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Kottern-St. Mang
15%
Draws
32%
Gersthofen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kottern-St. Mang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Kottern-St. Mang average 1.16 goals a game right now, well clear of Gersthofen's 1.14.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Kottern-St. Mang taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Kottern-St. Mang Clean Sheet 20%
Gersthofen Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kottern-St. Mang Gersthofen
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 9 6
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.16 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2013 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Kottern-St. Mang vs Gersthofen
0:4
Sep 1, 2012 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Gersthofen vs Kottern-St. Mang
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kottern-St. Mang 85 / 100
Gersthofen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kottern-St. Mang Gersthofen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kottern-St. Mang Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kottern-St. Mang found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Gersthofen has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Kottern-St. Mang remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kottern-St. Mang VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kottern-St. Mang

(Home)
02 Oct
FC Schwaig
0 : 0
Kottern-St. Mang
25 Sept
TSV 1860 Rosenheim
1 : 3
Kottern-St. Mang
19 Sept
Kottern-St. Mang
1 : 0
Ismaning
11 Sept
SV Erlbach
3 : 0
Kottern-St. Mang
05 Sept
Kottern-St. Mang
2 : 1
Kirchanschoring
Page 1 of 7

Gersthofen

(Away)
12 Jul
Gersthofen
0 : 9
Augsburg
18 May
Gersthofen
2 : 0
Hankofen-Hailing
12 May
Gersthofen
0 : 2
Regensburg II
04 May
Gersthofen
1 : 0
Unterhaching II
01 May
DJK Rosenheim
6 : 0
Gersthofen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Schalding 36 24 6 6 58:26 78
2 Burghausen II 36 21 4 11 65:35 67
3 Aichach 36 18 6 12 71:40 60
4 Landshut 36 16 9 11 60:54 57
5 Regensburg II 36 15 9 12 56:46 54
6 Unterhaching II 36 16 6 14 55:60 54
7 Unterfohring 36 13 14 9 57:50 53
8 Sonthofen 36 14 9 13 53:53 51
9 Vfb Eichstatt 36 14 8 14 40:40 50
10 Hankofen-Hailing 36 14 7 15 46:54 49
11 FC Affing 36 14 6 16 62:65 48
12 DJK Rosenheim 36 13 8 15 50:48 47
13 Wolfratshausen 36 12 10 14 50:50 46
14 TSV Schwabmunchen 36 12 10 14 37:39 46
15 TSV Aindling 36 12 5 19 42:63 41
16 Deggendorf 36 10 9 17 39:55 39
17 Gersthofen 36 10 8 18 43:72 38
18 Kottern-St. Mang 36 9 9 18 46:61 36
19 SC Furstenfeldbruck 36 8 11 17 36:55 35
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Süd 2012/2013 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Süd 2012/2013 (Relegation)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2012/2013 (Relegation)