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Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Gryf Slupsk

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kotwica Kolobrzeg play Gryf Slupsk in the Club Friendly 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kotwica Kolobrzeg averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.62 conceded. Gryf Slupsk averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, Kotwica Kolobrzeg won 1, Gryf Slupsk won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 1, 2025 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Kotwica Kolobrzeg and 1.50 for Gryf Slupsk. This points to a Kotwica Kolobrzeg double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
24%
Draws
28%
Gryf Slupsk
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Kotwica Kolobrzeg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Kotwica Kolobrzeg picked up more points recently compared to Gryf Slupsk.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Kotwica Kolobrzeg Clean Sheet 16%
Gryf Slupsk Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kotwica Kolobrzeg Gryf Slupsk
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 5 6
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 0.88 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Gryf Slupsk
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kotwica Kolobrzeg 46 / 100
Gryf Slupsk 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kotwica Kolobrzeg Gryf Slupsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kotwica Kolobrzeg or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kotwica Kolobrzeg attacking → ← attacking Gryf Slupsk

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kotwica Kolobrzeg scored in 54% of their last 26 games.

Gryf Slupsk let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Kotwica Kolobrzeg went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Gryf Slupsk lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 24
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88