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Kozani FC vs Ermis Exochis

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026
Kozani FC Logo

Kozani FC

0 - 1
FT
Ermis Exochis Logo

Ermis Exochis

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Kozani FC and Ermis Exochis finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ermis Exochis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Kozani FC
20%
Draws
38%
Ermis Exochis
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kozani FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Ermis Exochis's 1.54 goals per match outpaces what Kozani FC have produced (1.17).
  • Kozani FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Kozani FC Clean Sheet 18%
Ermis Exochis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kozani FC Ermis Exochis
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.17 1.54
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Kozani FC vs Ermis Exochis
0:1
Nov 9, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Ermis Exochis vs Kozani FC
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kozani FC 85 / 100
Ermis Exochis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kozani FC Ermis Exochis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kozani FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ermis Exochis conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Kozani FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Kozani FC's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Kozani FC VS Ermis Exochis
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kozani FC

(Home)
08 Apr
Sarakinos Volos
1 : 0
Kozani FC
05 Apr
Kozani FC
2 : 0
Asteras Karditsa
01 Apr
Akrites Sykeon
1 : 4
Kozani FC
28 Mar
Kozani FC
0 : 1
Eordaikos
22 Mar
Evosmou
0 : 5
Kozani FC
Page 1 of 6

Ermis Exochis

(Away)
26 Sept
Anthoupoli
1 : 1
Ermis Exochis
08 Apr
Ermis Exochis
1 : 0
Philippos Alexandreia
05 Apr
Apollon Kalamaria
2 : 0
Ermis Exochis
01 Apr
Ermis Exochis
2 : 2
Veria
28 Mar
Ermis Exochis
1 : 0
Pierikos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 22 17 4 1 47:6 55
2 Ethnikos Neou 22 14 6 2 49:24 48
3 Veria 22 12 4 6 32:19 40
4 Ermis Exochis 22 10 5 7 36:30 35
5 Pierikos 22 9 3 10 22:23 30
6 Philippos Alexandreia 22 8 5 9 26:31 29
7 Akrites Sykeon 22 8 5 9 29:24 29
8 Eordaikos 22 8 4 10 25:27 28
9 Kozani FC 22 6 8 8 17:22 26
10 Sarakinos Volos 22 8 2 12 27:38 26
11 Asteras Karditsa 22 5 6 11 28:43 21
12 Evosmou 22 0 2 20 13:64 2
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 (Losers stage)