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Kozani FC vs Ermis Exochis

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 game between Kozani FC and Ermis Exochis finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ermis Exochis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kozani FC
6%
Draws
4%
Ermis Exochis
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kozani FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ermis Exochis's 1.75 goals per match outpaces what Kozani FC have produced (1.25).
  • Kozani FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Kozani FC Clean Sheet 19%
Ermis Exochis Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kozani FC Ermis Exochis
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 12 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Kozani FC vs Ermis Exochis
0:1
Nov 9, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Ermis Exochis vs Kozani FC
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kozani FC 85 / 100
Ermis Exochis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kozani FC Ermis Exochis

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ermis Exochis conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

Recent resilience: Kozani FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Kozani FC's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Kozani FC VS Ermis Exochis
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Apollon Kalamaria22174147:655
2Ethnikos Neou22146249:2448
3Veria22124632:1940
4Ermis Exochis22105736:3035
5Pierikos22931022:2330
6Philippos Alexandreia2285926:3129
7Akrites Sykeon2285929:2429
8Eordaikos22841025:2728
9Kozani FC2268817:2226
10Sarakinos Volos22821227:3826
11Asteras Karditsa22561128:4321
12Evosmou22022013:642