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Kozani FC vs Ethnikos Neou

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Kozani FC and Ethnikos Neou finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ethnikos Neou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Kozani FC
15%
Draws
34%
Ethnikos Neou
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kozani FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Ethnikos Neou carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Kozani FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Kozani FC Clean Sheet 18%
Ethnikos Neou Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kozani FC Ethnikos Neou
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 19
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.17 2.2
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Kozani FC vs Ethnikos Neou
2:3
Nov 23, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Ethnikos Neou vs Kozani FC
3:0
Mar 26, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Kozani FC vs Ethnikos Neou
1:1
Jan 8, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Ethnikos Neou vs Kozani FC
1:1
Jan 10, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Ethnikos Neou vs Kozani FC
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kozani FC 85 / 100
Ethnikos Neou 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kozani FC Ethnikos Neou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kozani FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ethnikos Neou conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Kozani FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Ethnikos Neou registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kozani FC VS Ethnikos Neou
1.83 Goals Scored 2.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kozani FC

(Home)
08 Apr
Sarakinos Volos
1 : 0
Kozani FC
05 Apr
Kozani FC
2 : 0
Asteras Karditsa
01 Apr
Akrites Sykeon
1 : 4
Kozani FC
28 Mar
Kozani FC
0 : 1
Eordaikos
22 Mar
Evosmou
0 : 5
Kozani FC
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Ethnikos Neou

(Away)
26 Sept
Elassona
3 : 0
Ethnikos Neou
17 May
Elassona
2 : 3
Ethnikos Neou
14 May
Ethnikos Neou
3 : 2
Panthrakikos
10 May
Apollon Kalamaria
3 : 2
Ethnikos Neou
03 May
Ethnikos Neou
1 : 2
Elassona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 22 17 4 1 47:6 55
2 Ethnikos Neou 22 14 6 2 49:24 48
3 Veria 22 12 4 6 32:19 40
4 Ermis Exochis 22 10 5 7 36:30 35
5 Pierikos 22 9 3 10 22:23 30
6 Philippos Alexandreia 22 8 5 9 26:31 29
7 Akrites Sykeon 22 8 5 9 29:24 29
8 Eordaikos 22 8 4 10 25:27 28
9 Kozani FC 22 6 8 8 17:22 26
10 Sarakinos Volos 22 8 2 12 27:38 26
11 Asteras Karditsa 22 5 6 11 28:43 21
12 Evosmou 22 0 2 20 13:64 2
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 (Losers stage)