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Kozani FC vs Ethnikos Neou

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
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AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 game between Kozani FC and Ethnikos Neou finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ethnikos Neou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kozani FC
6%
Draws
4%
Ethnikos Neou
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kozani FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ethnikos Neou carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Kozani FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Kozani FC Clean Sheet 14%
Ethnikos Neou Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kozani FC Ethnikos Neou
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 19
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.86 2.38
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.86 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.86 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Kozani FC vs Ethnikos Neou
2:3
Nov 23, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Ethnikos Neou vs Kozani FC
3:0
Mar 26, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Kozani FC vs Ethnikos Neou
1:1
Jan 8, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Ethnikos Neou vs Kozani FC
1:1
Jan 10, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Ethnikos Neou vs Kozani FC
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kozani FC 84 / 100
Ethnikos Neou 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kozani FC Ethnikos Neou

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ethnikos Neou conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Kozani FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Ethnikos Neou registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kozani FC VS Ethnikos Neou
1.86 Goals Scored 2.38
0.86 Goals Conceded 0.75
57% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Apollon Kalamaria22174147:655
2Ethnikos Neou22146249:2448
3Veria22124632:1940
4Ermis Exochis22105736:3035
5Pierikos22931022:2330
6Philippos Alexandreia2285926:3129
7Akrites Sykeon2285929:2429
8Eordaikos22841025:2728
9Kozani FC2268817:2226
10Sarakinos Volos22821227:3826
11Asteras Karditsa22561128:4321
12Evosmou22022013:642