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Kozuf Gevgelija vs Golemo Konjari

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kozuf Gevgelija play Golemo Konjari in the 2. MFL 2025/2026. Kozuf Gevgelija are favorites here. Recently, Kozuf Gevgelija averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1 conceded. Golemo Konjari averaged 0.55 goals scored and 3.65 conceded. In past meetings, Kozuf Gevgelija won 1, Golemo Konjari won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 28, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.25 for Kozuf Gevgelija and 0.69 for Golemo Konjari. This points to a Kozuf Gevgelija double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Kozuf Gevgelija
15%
Draws
14%
Golemo Konjari
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kozuf Gevgelija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kozuf Gevgelija picked up more points recently compared to Golemo Konjari.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.25 vs 0.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Kozuf Gevgelija Clean Sheet 28%
Golemo Konjari Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kozuf Gevgelija Golemo Konjari
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 13 2
Draws 8 1
Losses 12 28
Goals Scored 1.7 0.55
Goals Conceded 1 3.65
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 2. MFL
Kozuf Gevgelija vs Golemo Konjari
3:0
Oct 4, 2025 2. MFL
Golemo Konjari vs Kozuf Gevgelija
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kozuf Gevgelija 70 / 100
Golemo Konjari 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kozuf Gevgelija Golemo Konjari

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kozuf Gevgelija Win (1)
Secondary Pick Kozuf Gevgelija & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.9%
1.59
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kozuf Gevgelija attacking → ← attacking Golemo Konjari

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kozuf Gevgelija scored in 61% of their last 33 games.

Golemo Konjari let in goals in 94% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Kozuf Gevgelija went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Golemo Konjari lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 7
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bregalnica Stip30225372:1771
2FK Skopje30232572:2071
3Shkendija Haracine30216367:1969
4Ohrid30215478:1768
5Belasica Strumica30184857:2158
6Osogovo30166853:2754
7Novaci30156947:3151
8Detonit Plackovica30147952:2849
9Kozuf Gevgelija30129950:2645
10Teteks301331456:4442
11Kamenica Sasa30991247:5336
12Vardar Negotino30642037:9522
13Sloga Vinica30432331:8415
14Prespa30502530:7615
15Pobeda30322519:11711
16Golemo Konjari30212717:1107