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Kozuf Gevgelija vs Prespa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2025/2026
Kozuf Gevgelija Logo

Kozuf Gevgelija

7 - 1
FT
Prespa Logo

Prespa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kozuf Gevgelija in this 2. MFL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 7-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kozuf Gevgelija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Kozuf Gevgelija
15%
Draws
36%
Prespa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kozuf Gevgelija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Prespa haven't matched Kozuf Gevgelija's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Kozuf Gevgelija's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Kozuf Gevgelija Clean Sheet 20%
Prespa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kozuf Gevgelija Prespa
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 4 0
Losses 12 25
Goals Scored 1.82 1
Goals Conceded 1.18 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 2. MFL
Prespa vs Kozuf Gevgelija
1:3
Sep 13, 2025 2. MFL
Kozuf Gevgelija vs Prespa
7:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kozuf Gevgelija 85 / 100
Prespa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kozuf Gevgelija Prespa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kozuf Gevgelija Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Prespa conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Kozuf Gevgelija scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Prespa lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kozuf Gevgelija VS Prespa
2.38 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Kozuf Gevgelija

(Home)
19 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
0 : 1
Novaci
13 Sept
Osogovo
0 : 1
Kozuf Gevgelija
09 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
0 : 1
FK Skopje
05 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
2 : 2
Belasica Strumica
30 Aug
Ohrid
5 : 1
Kozuf Gevgelija
Page 1 of 6

Prespa

(Away)
23 May
Prespa
1 : 3
Belasica Strumica
16 May
Sloga Vinica
3 : 2
Prespa
10 May
Prespa
0 : 3
Detonit Plackovica
03 May
Golemo Konjari
0 : 1
Prespa
25 Apr
Prespa
0 : 2
FK Skopje
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bregalnica Stip 30 22 5 3 72:17 71
2 FK Skopje 30 23 2 5 72:20 71
3 Shkendija Haracine 30 21 6 3 67:19 69
4 Ohrid 30 21 5 4 78:17 68
5 Belasica Strumica 30 18 4 8 57:21 58
6 Osogovo 30 16 6 8 53:27 54
7 Novaci 30 15 6 9 47:31 51
8 Detonit Plackovica 30 14 7 9 52:28 49
9 Kozuf Gevgelija 30 12 9 9 50:26 45
10 Teteks 30 13 3 14 56:44 42
11 Kamenica Sasa 30 9 9 12 47:53 36
12 Vardar Negotino 30 6 4 20 37:95 22
13 Sloga Vinica 30 4 3 23 31:84 15
14 Prespa 30 5 0 25 30:76 15
15 Pobeda 30 3 2 25 19:117 11
16 Golemo Konjari 30 2 1 27 17:110 7
Promotion - 1. MFL (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)