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KPV Kokkola vs JJK Jyvaskyla

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Kokkolan keskuskentta
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KPV Kokkola play JJK Jyvaskyla in the Ykkonen. It looks like a close match. Recently, KPV Kokkola averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2.37 conceded. JJK Jyvaskyla averaged 1.89 goals scored and 1.86 conceded. In past meetings, KPV Kokkola won 2, JJK Jyvaskyla won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 13, 2026 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for KPV Kokkola and 3.25 for JJK Jyvaskyla. This points to a JJK Jyvaskyla double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
KPV Kokkola
15%
Draws
44%
JJK Jyvaskyla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: JJK Jyvaskyla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • KPV Kokkola picked up more points recently compared to JJK Jyvaskyla.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 3.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
KPV Kokkola Clean Sheet 10%
JJK Jyvaskyla Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KPV Kokkola JJK Jyvaskyla
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 3 6
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.6 1.89
Goals Conceded 2.37 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Ykkonen
KPV Kokkola vs JJK Jyvaskyla
2:3
Sep 13, 2025 Ykkonen
KPV Kokkola vs JJK Jyvaskyla
4:0
Jul 26, 2025 Ykkonen
KPV Kokkola vs JJK Jyvaskyla
3:0
May 11, 2025 Ykkonen
JJK Jyvaskyla vs KPV Kokkola
3:0
Jul 20, 2024 Ykkonen
KPV Kokkola vs JJK Jyvaskyla
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KPV Kokkola Compare

Top Goalscorer Wegye W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Valipakka V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

JJK Jyvaskyla Compare

Top Goalscorer Goljahanpoor A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aaltonen A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KPV Kokkola 39 / 100
JJK Jyvaskyla 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KPV Kokkola JJK Jyvaskyla

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: JJK Jyvaskyla or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.43
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

KPV Kokkola attacking → ← attacking JJK Jyvaskyla

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KPV Kokkola scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

JJK Jyvaskyla let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

KPV Kokkola went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

JJK Jyvaskyla lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 36
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.63
3.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tampere Utd14101328:931
2RoPS Rovaniemi1484230:1528
3JJK Jyvaskyla1574439:2625
4SalPa1465329:2423
5OLS Oulu1564529:2222
6Keski-Uusimaa1363426:1821
7VJS1355325:1820
8FC Inter Turku 21443725:3915
9Jazz Pori1452715:2214
10TPV1434716:2413
11KuPS Akatemia1423924:349
12KPV Kokkola14221012:478