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Stadium Background

KPV Kokkola vs Keski-Uusimaa

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Kokkolan keskuskentta, Kokkola
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Sivunen J.
53' Event
Wegye W.
55' Event
Azemi V.

AI Match Summary

The Ykkonen game between KPV Kokkola and Keski-Uusimaa finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Keski-Uusimaa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
KPV Kokkola
15%
Draws
59%
Keski-Uusimaa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Keski-Uusimaa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Keski-Uusimaa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Keski-Uusimaa's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
KPV Kokkola Clean Sheet 20%
Keski-Uusimaa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KPV Kokkola Keski-Uusimaa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 3 8
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 1.28 1.79
Goals Conceded 2.9 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Ykkonen
KPV Kokkola vs Keski-Uusimaa
1:3
Apr 4, 2026 Ykkonen
Keski-Uusimaa vs KPV Kokkola
2:2
Jul 12, 2025 Ykkonen
Keski-Uusimaa vs KPV Kokkola
3:1
Apr 19, 2025 Ykkonen
KPV Kokkola vs Keski-Uusimaa
1:0
Jul 13, 2024 Ykkonen
Keski-Uusimaa vs KPV Kokkola
4:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KPV Kokkola Compare

Top Goalscorer Wegye W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Keski-Uusimaa Compare

Top Goalscorer Azemi V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Norss J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KPV Kokkola 12 / 100
Keski-Uusimaa 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KPV Kokkola Keski-Uusimaa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Keski-Uusimaa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Keski-Uusimaa conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

KPV Kokkola found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: KPV Kokkola stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KPV Kokkola VS Keski-Uusimaa
1.63 Goals Scored 2
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

KPV Kokkola

(Home)
26 Sept
VJS
2 : 0
KPV Kokkola
18 Sept
KPV Kokkola
3 : 2
KuPS Akatemia
11 Sept
Jazz Pori
3 : 0
KPV Kokkola
29 Aug
JJK Jyvaskyla
4 : 1
KPV Kokkola
21 Aug
KPV Kokkola
2 : 4
KuPS Akatemia
Page 1 of 6

Keski-Uusimaa

(Away)
26 Sept
OLS Oulu
3 : 0
Keski-Uusimaa
19 Sept
Keski-Uusimaa
3 : 1
RoPS Rovaniemi
12 Sept
Tampere Utd
3 : 2
Keski-Uusimaa
29 Aug
TPV
0 : 2
Keski-Uusimaa
21 Aug
Keski-Uusimaa
2 : 2
JJK Jyvaskyla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampere Utd 22 13 5 4 47:18 44
2 RoPS Rovaniemi 22 11 7 4 47:32 40
3 SalPa 22 10 6 6 41:35 36
4 Keski-Uusimaa 22 9 8 5 40:30 35
5 OLS Oulu 22 9 7 6 43:35 34
6 JJK Jyvaskyla 22 8 7 7 51:42 31
7 VJS 22 7 10 5 38:31 31
8 Jazz Pori 22 9 6 7 32:29 30
9 TPV 22 6 6 10 30:40 24
10 FC Inter Turku 2 22 5 5 12 32:51 20
11 KuPS Akatemia 22 3 6 13 37:51 15
12 KPV Kokkola 22 4 3 15 24:68 15
Promotion - Ykkonen (Championship Group)
Relegation - Ykkonen (Relegation Group)