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KPV Kokkola vs Keski-Uusimaa

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Kokkolan keskuskentta
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KPV Kokkola play Keski-Uusimaa in the Ykkonen. Keski-Uusimaa are favorites here. Recently, KPV Kokkola averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2.37 conceded. Keski-Uusimaa averaged 1.68 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. In past meetings, KPV Kokkola won 2, Keski-Uusimaa won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 28, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for KPV Kokkola and 1.00 for Keski-Uusimaa. This points to a Keski-Uusimaa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
KPV Kokkola
25%
Draws
60%
Keski-Uusimaa
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Keski-Uusimaa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • KPV Kokkola picked up more points recently compared to Keski-Uusimaa.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
KPV Kokkola Clean Sheet 23%
Keski-Uusimaa Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KPV Kokkola Keski-Uusimaa
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 3 8
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.6 1.68
Goals Conceded 2.37 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Ykkonen
KPV Kokkola vs Keski-Uusimaa
1:3
Apr 4, 2026 Ykkonen
Keski-Uusimaa vs KPV Kokkola
2:2
Jul 12, 2025 Ykkonen
Keski-Uusimaa vs KPV Kokkola
3:1
Apr 19, 2025 Ykkonen
KPV Kokkola vs Keski-Uusimaa
1:0
Jul 13, 2024 Ykkonen
Keski-Uusimaa vs KPV Kokkola
4:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KPV Kokkola Compare

Top Goalscorer Wegye W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Keski-Uusimaa Compare

Top Goalscorer Azemi V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Norss J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KPV Kokkola 18 / 100
Keski-Uusimaa 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KPV Kokkola Keski-Uusimaa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Keski-Uusimaa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Keski-Uusimaa & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

KPV Kokkola attacking → ← attacking Keski-Uusimaa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KPV Kokkola scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Keski-Uusimaa let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

KPV Kokkola went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Keski-Uusimaa lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 41
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
4.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tampere Utd14101328:931
2RoPS Rovaniemi1484230:1528
3JJK Jyvaskyla1473435:2224
4SalPa1465329:2423
5OLS Oulu1464426:1822
6Keski-Uusimaa1253424:1718
7VJS1245321:1517
8FC Inter Turku 21443725:3915
9Jazz Pori1352614:2014
10TPV1324713:2310
11KuPS Akatemia1322920:308
12KPV Kokkola1322911:448