Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KPV Kokkola vs TPV

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Kokkolan keskuskentta, Kokkola
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Maenpaa J.
18'
Yli-Rajala J.
25' Event
Bullock E.

AI Match Summary

TPV in this Ykkonen matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored TPV.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
KPV Kokkola
15%
Draws
46%
TPV
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TPV

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • TPV have won more games recently than KPV Kokkola.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Ykkonen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
KPV Kokkola Clean Sheet 10%
TPV Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KPV Kokkola TPV
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 3 6
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.34 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.86 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Ykkonen
KPV Kokkola vs TPV
1:3
Apr 11, 2026 Ykkonen
TPV vs KPV Kokkola
0:0
Jan 19, 2018 Suomen Cup
KPV Kokkola vs TPV
0:0
Oct 2, 2010 Ykkosliiga
KPV Kokkola vs TPV
3:1
May 22, 2010 Ykkosliiga
TPV vs KPV Kokkola
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KPV Kokkola Compare

Top Goalscorer Arope A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

TPV Compare

Top Goalscorer Bullock E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Toijala T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KPV Kokkola 30 / 100
TPV 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KPV Kokkola TPV

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TPV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: TPV conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: KPV Kokkola scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

KPV Kokkola went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KPV Kokkola VS TPV
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

KPV Kokkola

(Home)
18 Sept
KPV Kokkola
3 : 2
KuPS Akatemia
11 Sept
Jazz Pori
3 : 0
KPV Kokkola
29 Aug
JJK Jyvaskyla
4 : 1
KPV Kokkola
21 Aug
KPV Kokkola
2 : 4
KuPS Akatemia
16 Aug
FC Inter Turku 2
2 : 3
KPV Kokkola
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TPV

(Away)
20 Sept
FC Inter Turku 2
3 : 0
TPV
13 Sept
TPV
4 : 2
KuPS Akatemia
29 Aug
TPV
0 : 2
Keski-Uusimaa
22 Aug
FC Inter Turku 2
0 : 1
TPV
15 Aug
Tampere Utd
1 : 1
TPV
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampere Utd 22 13 5 4 47:18 44
2 RoPS Rovaniemi 22 11 7 4 47:32 40
3 SalPa 22 10 6 6 41:35 36
4 Keski-Uusimaa 22 9 8 5 40:30 35
5 OLS Oulu 22 9 7 6 43:35 34
6 JJK Jyvaskyla 22 8 7 7 51:42 31
7 VJS 22 7 10 5 38:31 31
8 Jazz Pori 22 9 6 7 32:29 30
9 TPV 22 6 6 10 30:40 24
10 FC Inter Turku 2 22 5 5 12 32:51 20
11 KuPS Akatemia 22 3 6 13 37:51 15
12 KPV Kokkola 22 4 3 15 24:68 15
Promotion - Ykkonen (Championship Group)
Relegation - Ykkonen (Relegation Group)