Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KPV Kokkola vs TPV

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Kokkolan keskuskentta
Sat, Jul 11, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KPV Kokkola play TPV in the Ykkonen. It looks like a close match. Recently, KPV Kokkola averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2.37 conceded. TPV averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.72 conceded. In past meetings, KPV Kokkola won 3, TPV won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 11, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for KPV Kokkola and 2.31 for TPV. This points to a KPV Kokkola double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
KPV Kokkola
21%
Draws
36%
TPV
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: KPV Kokkola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • KPV Kokkola picked up more points recently compared to TPV.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 2.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
KPV Kokkola Clean Sheet 10%
TPV Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KPV Kokkola TPV
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 3 6
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.6 1.93
Goals Conceded 2.37 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.63 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Ykkonen
TPV vs KPV Kokkola
0:0
Jan 19, 2018 Suomen Cup
KPV Kokkola vs TPV
0:0
Oct 2, 2010 Ykkosliiga
KPV Kokkola vs TPV
3:1
May 22, 2010 Ykkosliiga
TPV vs KPV Kokkola
0:4
Aug 2, 2009 Ykkosliiga
KPV Kokkola vs TPV
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KPV Kokkola 41 / 100
TPV 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KPV Kokkola TPV

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: KPV Kokkola or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

KPV Kokkola attacking → ← attacking TPV

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KPV Kokkola scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

TPV let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

KPV Kokkola went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

TPV lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 39
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
3.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tampere Utd1291225:628
2JJK Jyvaskyla1373335:2124
3RoPS Rovaniemi1264224:1222
4OLS Oulu1364325:1522
5SalPa1254326:2219
6Keski-Uusimaa1153321:1318
7VJS1144319:1316
8Jazz Pori1352614:2014
9FC Inter Turku 21233622:3612
10KuPS Akatemia1222818:278
11KPV Kokkola1322911:448
12TPV1214712:237