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KR Reykjavik vs Stjarnan

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla KR-völlur
Sun, Jul 19, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KR Reykjavik host Stjarnan in the Besta deild karla. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. KR Reykjavik have averaged 2.88 scored and 2.88 conceded recently, against Stjarnan's 1.88 scored and 2.13 conceded. Head-to-head, KR Reykjavik have won 2 to Stjarnan's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on May 13, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (2.50 - 2.38) back KR Reykjavik to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
KR Reykjavik
39%
Draws
30%
Stjarnan
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and KR Reykjavik come out ahead of Stjarnan on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 85%
KR Reykjavik Clean Sheet 10%
Stjarnan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KR Reykjavik Stjarnan
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 18 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.88 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan vs KR Reykjavik
2:1
May 8, 2026 Besta deild karla
Stjarnan vs KR Reykjavik
2:3
Mar 14, 2026 League Cup
Stjarnan vs KR Reykjavik
0:4
Aug 25, 2025 Besta deild karla
KR Reykjavik vs Stjarnan
1:2
May 29, 2025 Besta deild karla
Stjarnan vs KR Reykjavik
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KR Reykjavik 30 / 100
Stjarnan 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KR Reykjavik Stjarnan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STJ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: KR Reykjavik scored in 94% of their last 31 outings.

Stjarnan let in goals in 94% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

KR Reykjavik has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

KR Reykjavik VS Stjarnan
2.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik14131048:940
2KR Reykjavik1492348:3429
3Fram1383232:2527
4Breidablik1364332:2522
5Valur1461724:2719
6Keflavik1344518:2416
7Stjarnan1443728:3115
8IBV Vestmannaeyjar1343622:2615
9Akranes1343617:2515
10KA Akureyri1331919:2810
11Hafnarfjordur1315718:318
12Thor Akureyri1322914:358