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KR Reykjavik vs Stjarnan Prediction & H2H Stats

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla KR-völlur, Reykjavík
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Traustason A.
Assist: Gudmundsson G.
27'
Palmason F.
29' Event
Saebjornsson E.

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild karla game between KR Reykjavik and Stjarnan finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KR Reykjavik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
KR Reykjavik
20%
Draws
47%
Stjarnan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stjarnan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and KR Reykjavik come out ahead of Stjarnan on wins alone.
  • Model gives KR Reykjavik a 33% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83%
KR Reykjavik Clean Sheet 14%
Stjarnan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KR Reykjavik Stjarnan
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 17 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 3.27 1.81
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Besta deild karla
KR Reykjavik vs Stjarnan
5:0
May 13, 2026 Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan vs KR Reykjavik
2:1
May 8, 2026 Besta deild karla
Stjarnan vs KR Reykjavik
2:3
Mar 14, 2026 League Cup
Stjarnan vs KR Reykjavik
0:4
Aug 25, 2025 Besta deild karla
KR Reykjavik vs Stjarnan
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KR Reykjavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Saebjornsson E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Traustason A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Stjarnan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KR Reykjavik 39 / 100
Stjarnan 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KR Reykjavik Stjarnan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KR Reykjavik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 9:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: KR Reykjavik scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Stjarnan let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

KR Reykjavik has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

KR Reykjavik VS Stjarnan
3.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

KR Reykjavik

(Home)
19 Sept
KR Reykjavik
1 : 2
Vikingur Reykjavik
13 Sept
KR Reykjavik
5 : 1
Akranes
06 Sept
Akranes
3 : 1
KR Reykjavik
01 Sept
KR Reykjavik
1 : 1
Vikingur Reykjavik
23 Aug
KA Akureyri
3 : 5
KR Reykjavik
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Stjarnan

(Away)
20 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
5 : 2
Stjarnan
13 Sept
Stjarnan
2 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
06 Sept
Stjarnan
2 : 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
31 Aug
Breidablik
0 : 2
Stjarnan
23 Aug
Stjarnan
4 : 2
Thor Akureyri
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 16 5 1 67:21 53
2 Fram 22 13 6 3 56:42 45
3 KR Reykjavik 22 13 5 4 74:49 44
4 Breidablik 22 8 6 8 43:41 30
5 Akranes 22 8 6 8 39:41 30
6 Keflavik 22 8 4 10 33:38 28
7 Stjarnan 22 8 4 10 42:50 28
8 Valur 22 8 3 11 39:45 27
9 Hafnarfjordur 22 4 9 9 27:39 21
10 Thor Akureyri 22 6 3 13 22:50 21
11 KA Akureyri 22 5 5 12 35:48 20
12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 4 6 12 32:45 18
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)