Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KR Reykjavik vs Valur

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla KR-völlur
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Traustason A.
Assist: Karason S.
9' Event
Rae L.
Assist: Traustason A.
11'
Palsson A.

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild karla game between KR Reykjavik and Valur finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KR Reykjavik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
KR Reykjavik
22%
Draws
18%
Valur
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: KR Reykjavik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Valur haven't matched KR Reykjavik's recent run of results.
  • Model gives KR Reykjavik a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and KR Reykjavik have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
KR Reykjavik Clean Sheet 10%
Valur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KR Reykjavik Valur
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 19 9
Draws 3 2
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 2.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.88 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2026 Besta deild karla
KR Reykjavik vs Valur
3:1
May 2, 2026 Besta deild karla
Valur vs KR Reykjavik
1:4
Apr 6, 2026 Icelandic Cup
KR Reykjavik vs Valur
4:2
Jan 24, 2026 Reykjavik Cup
Valur vs KR Reykjavik
0:2
Jun 23, 2025 Besta deild karla
Valur vs KR Reykjavik
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KR Reykjavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Traustason A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rae L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Valur Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KR Reykjavik 56 / 100
Valur 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KR Reykjavik Valur

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KRR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KR Reykjavik found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (31 games).

Valur let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

KR Reykjavik went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KR Reykjavik VS Valur
2.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik15131149:1140
2Fram15103241:2833
3KR Reykjavik15102353:3632
4Breidablik1474334:2625
5Valur1661926:3219
6Keflavik1444619:2616
7Stjarnan1443728:3115
8IBV Vestmannaeyjar1443724:3115
9Akranes1443719:2815
10KA Akureyri1441922:3013
11Hafnarfjordur1425720:3111
12Thor Akureyri15321017:4211