Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KR Reykjavik vs Valur

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla KR-völlur, Reykjavík
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Traustason A.
Assist: Karason S.
9' Event
Rae L.
Assist: Traustason A.
11'
Palsson A.

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild karla game between KR Reykjavik and Valur finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KR Reykjavik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
KR Reykjavik
30%
Draws
37%
Valur
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Valur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Valur haven't matched KR Reykjavik's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and KR Reykjavik have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.6%
KR Reykjavik Clean Sheet 11%
Valur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KR Reykjavik Valur
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 3.38 1.69
Goals Conceded 2.14 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2026 Besta deild karla
KR Reykjavik vs Valur
3:1
May 2, 2026 Besta deild karla
Valur vs KR Reykjavik
1:4
Apr 6, 2026 Icelandic Cup
KR Reykjavik vs Valur
4:2
Jan 24, 2026 Reykjavik Cup
Valur vs KR Reykjavik
0:2
Jun 23, 2025 Besta deild karla
Valur vs KR Reykjavik
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KR Reykjavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Traustason A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rae L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Valur Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KR Reykjavik 29 / 100
Valur 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KR Reykjavik Valur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KR Reykjavik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KR Reykjavik found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (29 games).

Valur let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

KR Reykjavik went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KR Reykjavik VS Valur
2.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

KR Reykjavik

(Home)
19 Sept
KR Reykjavik
1 : 2
Vikingur Reykjavik
13 Sept
KR Reykjavik
5 : 1
Akranes
06 Sept
Akranes
3 : 1
KR Reykjavik
01 Sept
KR Reykjavik
1 : 1
Vikingur Reykjavik
23 Aug
KA Akureyri
3 : 5
KR Reykjavik
Page 1 of 6

Valur

(Away)
20 Sept
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1 : 1
Valur
13 Sept
Valur
4 : 1
Thor Akureyri
05 Sept
Keflavik
1 : 2
Valur
30 Aug
Valur
2 : 2
Akranes
23 Aug
Vikingur Reykjavik
2 : 0
Valur
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 16 5 1 67:21 53
2 Fram 22 13 6 3 56:42 45
3 KR Reykjavik 22 13 5 4 74:49 44
4 Breidablik 22 8 6 8 43:41 30
5 Akranes 22 8 6 8 39:41 30
6 Keflavik 22 8 4 10 33:38 28
7 Stjarnan 22 8 4 10 42:50 28
8 Valur 22 8 3 11 39:45 27
9 Hafnarfjordur 22 4 9 9 27:39 21
10 Thor Akureyri 22 6 3 13 22:50 21
11 KA Akureyri 22 5 5 12 35:48 20
12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 4 6 12 32:45 18
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)