Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Krakeroy vs Fredrikstad

Norway Norway

NM Cup 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Johansen M.
Own Goal
81' Event
Solberg N.
84' Event
Begby L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Fredrikstad advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Krakeroy
20%
Draws
46%
Fredrikstad
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fredrikstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fredrikstad come out ahead of Krakeroy on wins alone.
  • Model gives Fredrikstad a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Fredrikstad arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Fredrikstad, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Fredrikstad here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Krakeroy Clean Sheet 21%
Fredrikstad Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Krakeroy Fredrikstad
Matches Played 17 31
Wins 5 14
Draws 1 6
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.24 1.58
Goals Conceded 2.29 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2021 NM Cup
Krakeroy vs Fredrikstad
0:3
Feb 3, 2018 Club Friendly
Fredrikstad vs Krakeroy
3:0
Apr 26, 2017 NM Cup
Krakeroy vs Fredrikstad
1:0
Apr 17, 2013 NM Cup
Krakeroy vs Fredrikstad
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Krakeroy Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Fredrikstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Solberg N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Begby L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Krakeroy 10 / 100
Fredrikstad 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Krakeroy Fredrikstad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fredrikstad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fredrikstad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Krakeroy found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (17 games).

Solid form: Krakeroy remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fredrikstad
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Krakeroy

(Home)
18 Feb
Kvik Halden
0 : 1
Krakeroy
24 May
Krakeroy
1 : 2
Kvik Halden
13 Feb
Sprint-Jeloy
2 : 3
Krakeroy
30 Oct
Halsen
3 : 2
Krakeroy
23 Oct
Krakeroy
1 : 4
Orn
Page 1 of 4

Fredrikstad

(Away)
20 Sept
Valerenga
1 : 1
Fredrikstad
16 Sept
Stjordals Blink
0 : 1
Fredrikstad
13 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 1
Sarpsborg 08
04 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 2
Bodo/Glimt
30 Aug
Lillestrom
1 : 4
Fredrikstad
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Sola 1
Madla IL 0
Hinna 0
Bryne 4
Herd 0
Hodd 3
Spjelkavik 1
Molde 4
Ullern 3
Asker 1
Lyn 0
Valerenga 4
Flint 1
Fram 2
Eik-Tonsberg 0
Odds BK 1
Ardal 0
Floro 1
Fjora 0
Sogndal 3
Stord 3
Haugesund 2
Lysekloster 1
Asane 2
OS TF 2
Oygarden FK 6
Sandviken 1
Fyllingsdalen 2
Nordstrand 3
Baerum 2
Kvik Halden 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
Vestfossen 1
Moss 3
Krakeroy 0
Fredrikstad 3
Akra 3
V. Haugesund 2
Brodd 0
Sandnes Ulf 3
Vidar 2
Egersund 1
IL Express 0
Start 8
Halsen 1
Notodden 5
Assiden 0
Mjondalen 3
Gjovik-Lyn 2
Toten 0
Brumunddal 1
Ham-Kam 2
Gjellerasen 1
Eidsvold TF 4
Nybergsund 0
Raufoss 1
Ready 4
Grei 0
Honefoss 0
Stromsgodset 2
Orn 1
Ull/Kisa 2
Follo 0
Stabaek 1
Kolstad 0
Levanger 5
Byasen 3
Ranheim 4
Sunndal 0
Brattvag 4
Traeff 0
Aalesund 4
Skjervoy 0
Alta 1
Skanland 0
Tromso 11
Junkeren 2
Mjolner 0
Rana FK 1
Bodo/Glimt 4
Verdal 0
Nardo 6
Ntnui 0
Stjordals Blink 6
Mandalskameratene 1
Arendal 2
Pors 1
Sandefjord 4
Lokomotiv Oslo 0
Kjelsas 1
Stovner 2
Grorud 5
Oppsal 0
Skeid 2
Funnefoss/Vormsund 0
Lillestrom 4
Floya 4
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 3
Frigg 2
KFUM Oslo 4
Tynset 1
Tiller 4
Volda 2
Kristiansund 4
Harstad 2
Melbo 0
Finnsnes 0
Senja 3
Fana 2
Sotra 1
Bjarg 0
Brann 5
Elverum 1
Kongsvinger 3
Lorenskog 1
Strommen 2
Vindbjart 0
Flekkeroy 1
Donn 1
Jerv 2
Vardeneset 0
Djerv 1919 3
Staal Jorpeland 2
Viking 3
Strindheim 2
Orkla 4
Melhus 0
Rosenborg 7
1/32-finals
Sola 0
Bryne 6
Hodd 1
Molde 2
Ullern 1
Valerenga 3
Fram 0
Odds BK 1
Floro 1
Sogndal 5
Stord 0
Asane 4
Oygarden FK 2
Fyllingsdalen 1
Nordstrand 0
Sarpsborg 08 3
Moss 3
Fredrikstad 1
Akra 2
Sandnes Ulf 3
Vidar 0
Start 2
Notodden 0
Mjondalen 3
Gjovik-Lyn 0
Ham-Kam 3
Eidsvold TF 1
Raufoss 3
Ready 0
Stromsgodset 1
Ull/Kisa 0
Stabaek 1
Levanger 0
Ranheim 2
Brattvag 2
Aalesund 3
Alta 3
Tromso 1
Junkeren 1
Bodo/Glimt 3
Nardo 3
Stjordals Blink 0
Arendal 5
Sandefjord 4
Kjelsas 0
Grorud 1
Skeid 1
Lillestrom 2
Floya 1
KFUM Oslo 5
Tiller 1
Kristiansund 5
Harstad 3
Senja 2
Fana 0
Brann 3
Kongsvinger 3
Strommen 0
Flekkeroy 3
Jerv 2
Djerv 1919 0
Viking 2
Orkla 1
Rosenborg 11
1/16-finals
Bryne 1
Molde 4
Valerenga 0
Odds BK 3
Sogndal 0
Asane 2
Oygarden FK 0
Sarpsborg 08 5
Moss 1
Sandnes Ulf 7
Start 4
Mjondalen 2
Ham-Kam 1
Raufoss 2
Stromsgodset 5
Stabaek 1
Ranheim 1
Aalesund 2
Alta 1
Bodo/Glimt 2
Nardo 3
Arendal 2
Grorud 2
Lillestrom 3
KFUM Oslo 3
Kristiansund 1
Harstad 0
Brann 5
Kongsvinger 4
Flekkeroy 1
Viking 3
Rosenborg 1
1/8-finals
Molde 3
Odds BK 2
Asane 0
Sarpsborg 08 5
Sandnes Ulf 2
Start 0
Raufoss 1
Stromsgodset 2
Aalesund 0
Bodo/Glimt 3
Nardo 0
Lillestrom 4
KFUM Oslo 1
Brann 0
Kongsvinger 0
Viking 2
Quarter-finals
Molde 4
Sarpsborg 08 2
Sandnes Ulf 0
Stromsgodset 4
Bodo/Glimt 4
Lillestrom 1
KFUM Oslo 0
Viking 5
Semi-finals
Molde 3
Stromsgodset 0
Bodo/Glimt 2
Viking 1
Final
Molde 1
Bodo/Glimt 0