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Krasnodar 2 vs Ulyanovsk

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2024/2025 FC Krasnodar Academy Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Kamenshchikov D.
27'
Shakhov V.
41'
Kravtsov Z.

AI Match Summary

Ulyanovsk in this FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ulyanovsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Krasnodar 2
40%
Draws
29%
Ulyanovsk
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ulyanovsk lately — more wins on the board than Krasnodar 2.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ulyanovsk have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Krasnodar 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Ulyanovsk Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Krasnodar 2 Ulyanovsk
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 12
Draws 10 9
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Krasnodar 2 vs Ulyanovsk
1:3
Aug 25, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Ulyanovsk vs Krasnodar 2
2:0
Nov 5, 2023 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Ulyanovsk vs Krasnodar 2
1:2
Sep 9, 2023 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Krasnodar 2 vs Ulyanovsk
1:2
Apr 29, 2023 FNL
Ulyanovsk vs Krasnodar 2
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Krasnodar 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bagrintsev E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Ulyanovsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamenshchikov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Voronin E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Krasnodar 2 32 / 100
Ulyanovsk 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Krasnodar 2 Ulyanovsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Krasnodar 2 scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Ulyanovsk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Ulyanovsk's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ulyanovsk
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rodina Moscow 218105339:2235
2Ulyanovsk18105332:1835
3Torpedo Miass1895419:1632
4Mashuk1867523:2225
5D. Bryansk1857622:2122
6FC Murom1864818:2422
7Irtysh Omsk1863919:2821
8Khimik1854922:3019
9M. Lipetsk1845922:2617
10Krasnodar 21837824:3316