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Krasnodar vs Dynamo Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Russian Cup Ozon Arena, Krasnodar
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Little to choose between these two on current form. Dynamo Moscow have shipped 0.81 goals a game lately, while Krasnodar have conceded 0.93 and scored 1.82. Head-to-head, Krasnodar have won 2 to Dynamo Moscow's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 19, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.50, favoring Krasnodar. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Krasnodar
30%
Draws
50%
Dynamo Moscow
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dynamo Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Krasnodar haven't matched Dynamo Moscow's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Dynamo Moscow arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Krasnodar, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Krasnodar Clean Sheet 16%
Dynamo Moscow Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Krasnodar Dynamo Moscow
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 17 18
Draws 8 3
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 1.82 1.81
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Russian Cup
Dynamo Moscow vs Krasnodar
0:1
May 11, 2026 Premier League
Dynamo Moscow vs Krasnodar
2:1
May 7, 2026 Russian Cup
Krasnodar vs Dynamo Moscow
1:0
Apr 8, 2026 Russian Cup
Dynamo Moscow vs Krasnodar
0:0
Feb 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Dynamo Moscow vs Krasnodar
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Krasnodar 31 / 100
Dynamo Moscow 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Krasnodar Dynamo Moscow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dynamo Moscow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Krasnodar scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

Krasnodar went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Dynamo Moscow's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Krasnodar VS Dynamo Moscow
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Krasnodar

(Home)
10 Oct
Krasnodar
2 : 3
Zenit St Petersburg
03 Oct
FK Rostov
0 : 3
Krasnodar
17 Sept
Orenburg
0 : 0
Krasnodar
13 Sept
Krasnodar
1 : 1
Akron Togliatti
05 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 2
Krasnodar
Page 1 of 6

Dynamo Moscow

(Away)
11 Oct
Rubin Kazan
0 : 1
Dynamo Moscow
04 Oct
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 2
Rodina Moscow
17 Sept
FK Rostov
0 : 3
Dynamo Moscow
12 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
1 : 0
Orenburg
06 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
2 : 1
Spartak Moscow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spartak Moscow 3 2 0 1 9:3 7
2 Rubin Kazan 3 2 0 1 2:7 4
3 Orenburg 3 1 0 2 6:7 4
4 Rodina Moscow 3 1 0 2 7:7 3
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krasnodar 3 3 0 0 3:2 7
2 Dynamo Moscow 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
3 Akhmat Grozny 3 1 0 2 3:5 4
4 Fakel Voronezh 3 0 0 3 2:4 1
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zenit St Petersburg 3 3 0 0 4:0 8
2 Krylya Sovetov Samara 3 2 0 1 2:1 6
3 Baltika 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
4 Dynamo Makhachkala 3 0 0 3 2:6 1
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Rostov 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 Akron Togliatti 3 2 0 1 1:4 5
3 CSKA Moscow 3 1 0 2 1:4 2
4 Lokomotiv Moscow 3 0 0 3 1:2 2
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)