Sport Picks
Krasnodar vs Fakel Voronezh
Russia
Premier League Ozon Arena, Krasnodar 
Match Events
4'
4'
Jubal Junior
Assist: Olaza L.
27'
27'
Krivtsov N.
Assist: Alves Cardoso C. R.
29'
29'
Douglas Augusto
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Krasnodar and Fakel Voronezh finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Krasnodar.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
35%
6%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Krasnodar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Krasnodar carry the better recent record into this one.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on Krasnodar taking it.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Krasnodar have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Krasnodar Clean Sheet 68%
Fakel Voronezh Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Krasnodar | Fakel Voronezh |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 20 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 2 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.77 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 1, 2026 Russian Cup
Fakel Voronezh vs Krasnodar
1:2
Aug 2, 2026 Premier League
Krasnodar vs Fakel Voronezh
3:2
Mar 30, 2025 Premier League
Krasnodar vs Fakel Voronezh
5:0
Aug 4, 2024 Premier League
Fakel Voronezh vs Krasnodar
0:0
Apr 19, 2024 Premier League
Krasnodar vs Fakel Voronezh
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Krasnodar Compare
Top Goalscorer Krivtsov N.
2 Goals Assists Leader Jubal Junior
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Fakel Voronezh Compare
Top Goalscorer Turishchev M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sutormin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Krasnodar 95 / 100
Fakel Voronezh 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Krasnodar Fakel Voronezh
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Krasnodar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Krasnodar scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.
Recent resilience: Krasnodar stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Fakel Voronezh conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Krasnodar VS Fakel Voronezh
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Krasnodar
(Home) 17 Sept
Orenburg
0 : 0 Krasnodar
13 Sept
Krasnodar
1 : 1 Akron Togliatti
05 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 2 Krasnodar
01 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 2 Krasnodar
29 Aug
Krasnodar
1 : 0 FK Rostov
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Krasnodar
1 : 1 Akron Togliatti
29 Aug
Krasnodar
1 : 0 FK Rostov
15 Aug
Krasnodar
1 : 0 Akhmat Grozny
05 Aug
Krasnodar
2 : 1 Akhmat Grozny
02 Aug
Krasnodar
3 : 2 Fakel Voronezh
Page 1 of 4
Fakel Voronezh
(Away) 16 Sept
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0 Fakel Voronezh
12 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
2 : 2 Baltika
05 Sept
FK Rostov
3 : 1 Fakel Voronezh
01 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 2 Krasnodar
29 Aug
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 1 Zenit St Petersburg
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0 Fakel Voronezh
05 Sept
FK Rostov
3 : 1 Fakel Voronezh
18 Aug
Akhmat Grozny
2 : 1 Fakel Voronezh
15 Aug
CSKA Moscow
1 : 0 Fakel Voronezh
02 Aug
Krasnodar
3 : 2 Fakel Voronezh
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | 21 |
| 2 | Dynamo Moscow | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 19 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:7 | 19 |
| 5 | Zenit St Petersburg | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19:9 | 18 |
| 6 | Rubin Kazan | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 7 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15:16 | 12 |
| 8 | Baltika | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 11 |
| 9 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 10 | Akhmat Grozny | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 10 |
| 11 | Orenburg | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 7:10 | 9 |
| 12 | FK Rostov | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 13 | Akron Togliatti | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 15 | Rodina Moscow | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:22 | 5 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6:13 | 3 |
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)
