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Krasnodar vs Fakel Voronezh

Russia Russia

Premier League Ozon Arena, Krasnodar
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Jubal Junior
Assist: Olaza L.
27' Event
Krivtsov N.
Assist: Alves Cardoso C. R.
29'
Douglas Augusto

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Krasnodar and Fakel Voronezh finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Krasnodar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Krasnodar
30%
Draws
19%
Fakel Voronezh
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Krasnodar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Very High Confidence
  • Krasnodar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Krasnodar taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Krasnodar Clean Sheet 68%
Fakel Voronezh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Krasnodar Fakel Voronezh
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 16 10
Draws 5 10
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 2.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Premier League
Krasnodar vs Fakel Voronezh
3:2
Mar 30, 2025 Premier League
Krasnodar vs Fakel Voronezh
5:0
Aug 4, 2024 Premier League
Fakel Voronezh vs Krasnodar
0:0
Apr 19, 2024 Premier League
Krasnodar vs Fakel Voronezh
2:0
Aug 25, 2023 Premier League
Fakel Voronezh vs Krasnodar
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Krasnodar Compare

Top Goalscorer Krivtsov N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jubal Junior
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Fakel Voronezh Compare

Top Goalscorer Turishchev M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sutormin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Krasnodar 86 / 100
Fakel Voronezh 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Krasnodar Fakel Voronezh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Krasnodar's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Krasnodar has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Fakel Voronezh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Krasnodar VS Fakel Voronezh
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Krasnodar

(Home)
02 Aug
Krasnodar
3 : 2
Fakel Voronezh
26 Jul
Rubin Kazan
1 : 3
Krasnodar
19 Jul
Krasnodar
1 : 1
Baltika
11 Jul
Krasnodar
3 : 3
FK Rostov
03 Jul
Krasnodar
4 : 0
FDC Vista
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Fakel Voronezh

(Away)
02 Aug
Krasnodar
3 : 2
Fakel Voronezh
25 Jul
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 2
Dynamo Makhachkala
15 Jul
FK Rostov
2 : 1
Fakel Voronezh
11 Jul
Akron Togliatti
1 : 1
Fakel Voronezh
07 Jul
Fakel Voronezh
3 : 1
FK Rostov
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zenit St Petersburg 2 2 0 0 8:0 6
2 Spartak Moscow 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3 Krasnodar 2 2 0 0 6:3 6
4 Dynamo Makhachkala 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
5 CSKA Moscow 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
6 Orenburg 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
7 Baltika 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
8 Rubin Kazan 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
9 FK Rostov 2 1 0 1 5:4 3
10 Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
11 Lokomotiv Moscow 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
12 Akhmat Grozny 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
13 Dynamo Moscow 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
14 Fakel Voronezh 2 0 0 2 3:5 0
15 Rodina Moscow 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
16 Akron Togliatti 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)