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Krasnodar vs Zenit St Petersburg

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Lenini K.
34' Event
Cobnan M. D.
44'
Joao Batxi

AI Match Summary

Krasnodar in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Krasnodar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Krasnodar
17%
Draws
13%
Zenit St Petersburg
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Krasnodar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Zenit St Petersburg have won more games recently than Krasnodar.
  • Krasnodar are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Krasnodar Clean Sheet 13%
Zenit St Petersburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Krasnodar Zenit St Petersburg
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 18 20
Draws 4 3
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 2.38 2.38
Goals Conceded 1 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Premier League
Zenit St Petersburg vs Krasnodar
1:1
Feb 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Krasnodar vs Zenit St Petersburg
0:1
Feb 6, 2026 Club Friendly
Krasnodar vs Zenit St Petersburg
3:0
Sep 21, 2025 Premier League
Krasnodar vs Zenit St Petersburg
0:2
Apr 13, 2025 Premier League
Zenit St Petersburg vs Krasnodar
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Krasnodar Compare

Top Goalscorer Cobnan M. D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khmarin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Zenit St Petersburg Compare

Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Krasnodar 66 / 100
Zenit St Petersburg 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Krasnodar Zenit St Petersburg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Krasnodar scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Krasnodar stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Zenit St Petersburg has conceded goals in 48% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Krasnodar VS Zenit St Petersburg
2.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%