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Krasnodar W vs Zenit St Petersburg W

Russia Russia

Supreme Division Women Malaya Arena
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Krasnodar W play Zenit St Petersburg W in the Supreme Division Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Krasnodar W averaged 1 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. Zenit St Petersburg W averaged 2.52 goals scored and 0.55 conceded. In past meetings, Krasnodar W won 0, Zenit St Petersburg W won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.38 for Krasnodar W and 2.19 for Zenit St Petersburg W. This points to a Zenit St Petersburg W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Krasnodar W
15%
Draws
55%
Zenit St Petersburg W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zenit St Petersburg W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Krasnodar W picked up more points recently compared to Zenit St Petersburg W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.38 vs 2.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Krasnodar W Clean Sheet 10%
Zenit St Petersburg W Clean Sheet 24%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Krasnodar W Zenit St Petersburg W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 21
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1 2.52
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.55
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Supreme Division Women
Krasnodar W vs Zenit St Petersburg W
0:4
Jul 11, 2025 Supreme Division Women
Zenit St Petersburg W vs Krasnodar W
1:0
Mar 29, 2025 Supreme Division Women
Krasnodar W vs Zenit St Petersburg W
0:1
Aug 31, 2024 Supreme Division Women
Krasnodar W vs Zenit St Petersburg W
0:3
Apr 14, 2024 Supreme Division Women
Zenit St Petersburg W vs Krasnodar W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Krasnodar W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Zenit St Petersburg W Compare

Top Goalscorer Andreeva A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zharkova M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Krasnodar W 29 / 100
Zenit St Petersburg W 54 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Krasnodar W Zenit St Petersburg W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zenit St Petersburg W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Zenit St Petersburg W & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Krasnodar W attacking → ← attacking Zenit St Petersburg W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Krasnodar W scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Zenit St Petersburg W let in goals in 38% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Krasnodar W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Zenit St Petersburg W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 67
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.25